Sport Picks
Match Events
45'
45'
Butic K.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
45%
20%
35%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bari
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Casarano have won more games recently than Bari.
- Win probability leans Bari's way, sitting at 60%.
- Casarano arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Bari, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Bari here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Bari Clean Sheet 68%
Casarano Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Bari | Casarano |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 15 |
| Draws | 5 | 5 |
| Losses | 10 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 1.59 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 5, 2026 Serie C - Group C
Bari vs Casarano
1:0
Aug 16, 2026 Coppa Italia Serie C
Bari vs Casarano
1:0
Aug 4, 2025 Club Friendly
Bari vs Casarano
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Bari Compare
Top Goalscorer Butic K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Casarano Compare
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Bari 68 / 100
Casarano 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Bari Casarano
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Bari Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Bari went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Bari scored in 62% of their last 29 games.
Casarano's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.
H2H data points to 2.33 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Bari VS Casarano
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Bari
(Home) 26 Sept
Bari
1 : 0 Cosenza
19 Sept
Sorrento
1 : 2 Bari
15 Sept
Bari
0 : 0 Potenza
11 Sept
Altamura
0 : 3 Bari
05 Sept
Bari
1 : 0 Casarano
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Bari
1 : 0 Cosenza
15 Sept
Bari
0 : 0 Potenza
05 Sept
Bari
1 : 0 Casarano
01 Sept
Bari
2 : 1 Picerno
21 Aug
Bari
3 : 0 Cavese
Page 1 of 4
Casarano
(Away) 19 Sept
A.C. Savoia
1 : 1 Casarano
15 Sept
Casarano
1 : 0 Audace Cerignola
11 Sept
Casarano
3 : 1 Barletta
05 Sept
Bari
1 : 0 Casarano
28 Aug
Casarano
4 : 3 Giugliano
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
A.C. Savoia
1 : 1 Casarano
05 Sept
Bari
1 : 0 Casarano
21 Aug
Potenza
4 : 1 Casarano
16 Aug
Bari
1 : 0 Casarano
20 May
Union Brescia
0 : 0 Casarano
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Campobasso 2
Cavese 0
Salernitana 1
Scafatese 2
Grosseto 3
Guidonia 1937 0
Latina 2
Ostiamare 1
Vado 2
Inter U23 1
Spezia 4
Sassari Torres 1
Alcione Milano 0
Novara 1
Livorno 3
Reggiana 1
Potenza -
TBD -
Audace Cerignola 1
Monopoli 2
Bari 1
Casarano 0
Picerno 2
Barletta 1
Catania -
TBD -
Casertana 1
A.C. Savoia 2
Giugliano 0
Sorrento 1
Crotone 0
Cosenza 2
Foggia 1
Altamura 2
Pescara 0
Sambenedettese 1
Pineto 1
Gubbio 2
Perugia 1
Vis Pesaro 2
Lecco 0
Desenzano Calvina 1
Trento 2
Ospitaletto 1
Arzignano 2
AlbinoLeffe 1
Dolomiti Bellunesi 1
Treviso 0
Carpi 3
Pianese 2
Pro Vercelli 2
Pergolettese 1
Ravenna -
TBD -
Juventus U23 1
Forli FC 2
Union Brescia -
TBD -
Giana Erminio 2
Folgore Caratese 1
Cittadella 3
Atalanta U23 2
Lumezzane 2
Renate 3
1/16-finals
Campobasso 2
Scafatese 1
Grosseto 1
Latina 4
Vado 0
Spezia 3
Novara 0
Livorno 1
Potenza 2
Monopoli 1
Bari 2
Picerno 1
Catania 0
A.C. Savoia 3
Sorrento 1
Cosenza 0
Altamura 3
Sambenedettese 2
Gubbio 5
Vis Pesaro 0
Desenzano Calvina 1
Trento 0
Arzignano 2
Dolomiti Bellunesi 3
Carpi 2
Pro Vercelli 1
Ravenna 2
Forli FC 1
Union Brescia 5
Giana Erminio 2
Cittadella 4
Renate 1
1/8-finals
Campobasso -
Latina -
Spezia -
Livorno -
Potenza -
Bari -
A.C. Savoia -
Sorrento -
Altamura -
Gubbio -
Desenzano Calvina -
Dolomiti Bellunesi -
Carpi -
Ravenna -
Union Brescia -
Cittadella -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
