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Barleben vs Erfurt II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2015/2016
Barleben Logo

Barleben

4 - 3
FT
Erfurt II Logo

Erfurt II

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2015/2016 game between Barleben and Erfurt II finished 4-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Barleben.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Barleben
20%
Draws
34%
Erfurt II
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Barleben

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Barleben come out ahead of Erfurt II on wins alone.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Barleben taking it.
  • Regular Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2015/2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Barleben Clean Sheet 10%
Erfurt II Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barleben Erfurt II
Matches Played 33 32
Wins 12 11
Draws 6 7
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1.42 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.79 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2016 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Barleben vs Erfurt II
4:3
Aug 23, 2015 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Erfurt II vs Barleben
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barleben 83 / 100
Erfurt II 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barleben Erfurt II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Barleben Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Barleben's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Erfurt II has conceded goals in 72% of their last 32 outings.

Barleben went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Barleben VS -
0.38 Goals Scored 0
2.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Barleben

(Home)
03 Jun
Barleben
1 : 1
Eilenburg
27 May
Wismut Gera
1 : 3
Barleben
20 May
Barleben
4 : 4
Plauen
12 May
Inter Leipzig
2 : 1
Barleben
10 May
SV Merseburg 99
0 : 3
Barleben
Page 1 of 7

Erfurt II

(Away)
12 Jun
Bischofswerdaer
6 : 1
Erfurt II
05 Jun
Erfurt II
1 : 6
Bernburg
20 May
Schott Jena
3 : 2
Erfurt II
15 May
Erfurt II
2 : 0
Eisenach
08 May
Einheit Rudolstadt
0 : 2
Erfurt II
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lokomotive Leipzig 30 22 8 0 78:14 74
2 Inter Leipzig 30 19 6 5 71:29 63
3 Bischofswerdaer 30 16 9 5 60:31 57
4 Jena II 30 14 7 9 72:42 49
5 Einheit Rudolstadt 30 12 9 9 46:34 45
6 Halle 30 12 7 11 60:50 43
7 Sandersdorf 30 12 7 11 48:48 43
8 Markranstadt 30 11 8 11 49:48 41
9 Barleben 30 11 7 12 52:47 40
10 Cottbus II 30 12 4 14 56:66 40
11 Bernburg 30 10 8 12 43:45 38
12 Plauen 30 10 7 13 47:66 37
13 Erfurt II 30 9 7 14 49:65 34
14 Schott Jena 30 10 4 16 43:68 34
15 Wismut Gera 30 5 6 19 30:66 21
16 Eisenach 30 2 2 26 17:102 8
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2016/2017 (Main)