Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Barletta vs Afragolese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group H 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

46' Event
Laringe F.
83' Event
Lattanzio R.

AI Match Summary

Barletta in this Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Barletta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Barletta
35%
Draws
46%
Afragolese
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Afragolese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Barletta have won more games recently than Afragolese.
  • 46% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%
Over 1.5 Goals 78.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Barletta Clean Sheet 20%
Afragolese Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barletta Afragolese
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 18 10
Draws 7 12
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1.74 1.16
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.23
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Serie D - Group H
Barletta vs Afragolese
2:0
Oct 19, 2025 Serie D - Group H
Afragolese vs Barletta
3:2
Mar 12, 2023 Serie D - Group H
Afragolese vs Barletta
0:0
Nov 6, 2022 Serie D - Group H
Barletta vs Afragolese
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Barletta Compare

Top Goalscorer Laringe F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lattanzio R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Afragolese Compare

Avg xG / game 1.12
Avg xA / game 0.68

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barletta 32 / 100
Afragolese 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barletta Afragolese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Afragolese Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Barletta's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Afragolese has conceded goals in 61% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.

Barletta went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Barletta VS Afragolese
1.63 Goals Scored 0.71
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 57%
75% Over 2.5 29%
38% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Barletta

(Home)
03 Oct
Giugliano
1 : 0
Barletta
27 Sept
Barletta
1 : 4
Potenza
19 Sept
Catania
0 : 0
Barletta
15 Sept
Barletta
1 : 1
Salernitana
11 Sept
Casarano
3 : 1
Barletta
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Afragolese

(Away)
04 Oct
Afragolese
0 : 2
Ossese
27 Sept
Citta di Anagni
4 : 0
Afragolese
20 Sept
Afragolese
4 : 0
US Venafro
16 Sept
Paganese
0 : 0
Afragolese
12 Sept
Afragolese
1 : 1
Sarnese
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barletta 34 20 10 4 54:20 70
2 Martina Calcio 34 18 8 8 47:30 62
3 Citta di Fasano 34 18 8 8 51:35 62
4 Paganese 34 17 7 10 36:32 58
5 A.C.D. Nardo 34 14 13 7 40:27 55
6 Gravina 34 16 7 11 50:40 55
7 Afragolese 34 13 10 11 45:46 49
8 Fidelis Andria 34 13 9 12 35:28 48
9 Virtus Francavilla 34 12 12 10 45:40 48
10 Real Normanna 34 10 13 11 27:26 43
11 Francavilla 34 11 10 13 39:38 43
12 Manfredonia 34 11 10 13 34:39 43
13 Sarnese 34 9 14 11 51:49 41
14 SS Nola 1925 34 11 8 15 42:50 41
15 Heraclea 34 10 8 16 31:39 38
16 Pompei 34 9 7 18 26:38 34
17 Ferrandina 34 7 9 18 21:43 30
18 Acerrana 34 3 5 26 20:74 14
Promotion - Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group H 2025/2026 (Play Out)