Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Barnsley vs Stockport County

England England

League One 2025/2026 Oakwell, Barnsley
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Sidibeh A.
40'
Bland J.
52' Event
Phillips A.
Assist: O'Keeffe C.

AI Match Summary

The League One 2025/2026 game between Barnsley and Stockport County finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Stockport County.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Barnsley
20%
Draws
70%
Stockport County
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Stockport County

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Barnsley haven't matched Stockport County's recent run of results.
  • Stockport County are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular League One 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Barnsley Clean Sheet 10%
Stockport County Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barnsley Stockport County
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 16
Draws 7 4
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.32 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 League One
Barnsley vs Stockport County
1:3
Nov 29, 2025 League One
Stockport County vs Barnsley
1:1
Feb 8, 2025 League One
Stockport County vs Barnsley
2:1
Sep 28, 2024 League One
Barnsley vs Stockport County
1:1
Jan 22, 2005 League One
Stockport County vs Barnsley
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Barnsley Compare

Top Goalscorer Phillips A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Stockport County Compare

Top Goalscorer Sidibeh A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Andresson B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barnsley 18 / 100
Stockport County 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barnsley Stockport County

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stockport County Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Barnsley scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Stockport County let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Barnsley has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Barnsley VS Stockport County
1.63 Goals Scored 2.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Barnsley

(Home)
22 Sept
Barnsley
3 : 4
Leeds U21
19 Sept
Barnsley
1 : 1
Leicester
15 Sept
Peterborough
4 : 3
Barnsley
12 Sept
Plymouth
3 : 0
Barnsley
05 Sept
Barnsley
1 : 5
Stevenage
Page 1 of 6

Stockport County

(Away)
26 Sept
Stockport County
1 : 0
Peterborough
19 Sept
Sheffield Wed
0 : 0
Stockport County
12 Sept
Stockport County
3 : 4
Leicester
05 Sept
Wigan
0 : 4
Stockport County
02 Sept
Luton
2 : 0
Stockport County
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lincoln City 46 31 10 5 89:41 103
2 Cardiff 46 27 10 9 90:50 91
3 Stockport County 46 22 11 13 71:58 77
4 Bradford City 46 22 11 13 58:51 77
5 Bolton 46 19 18 9 70:52 75
6 Stevenage 46 21 12 13 49:46 75
7 Luton 46 21 11 14 68:56 74
8 Plymouth 46 22 7 17 75:63 73
9 Huddersfield 46 18 13 15 74:64 67
10 Mansfield 46 16 17 13 62:50 65
11 Wycombe 46 17 12 17 69:58 63
12 Reading 46 16 15 15 64:60 63
13 Blackpool 46 17 9 20 54:65 60
14 Doncaster 46 17 9 20 50:69 60
15 Barnsley 46 15 14 17 68:73 59
16 Wigan 46 14 14 18 49:58 56
17 Burton 46 13 15 18 50:60 54
18 Peterborough 46 15 8 23 64:68 53
19 AFC Wimbledon 46 15 8 23 51:72 53
20 Leyton Orient 46 14 10 22 59:71 52
21 Exeter 46 12 13 21 52:61 49
22 Port Vale 46 10 12 24 36:61 42
23 Rotherham 46 10 11 25 41:71 41
24 Northampton 46 9 8 29 39:74 35
Promotion - Championship (Main)
Promotion - League One 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two (Main)