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Barnsley vs Wigan

England England

EFL Cup Oakwell, Barnsley
Sat, Aug 8, 2026
2 - 1
02:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Costelloe D.
Assist: Carragher J.
46'
Sub
Kirk M. In: Bland J.
Out: Kirk M.
64'
Sub
Sze C. In: Brenan T.
Out: Sze C.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Barnsley
20%
Draws
22%
Wigan
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Barnsley

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Barnsley come out ahead of Wigan on wins alone.
  • Model gives Barnsley a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Barnsley have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Wigan, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Barnsley Clean Sheet 20%
Wigan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barnsley Wigan
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 9
Draws 9 5
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.31 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 EFL Cup
Barnsley vs Wigan
2:1
Mar 17, 2026 League One
Barnsley vs Wigan
1:1
Jan 1, 2026 League One
Wigan vs Barnsley
1:1
Mar 29, 2025 League One
Wigan vs Barnsley
1:1
Nov 23, 2024 League One
Barnsley vs Wigan
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Barnsley Compare

Top Goalscorer McGeehan C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Wigan Compare

Top Goalscorer Costelloe D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barnsley 49 / 100
Wigan 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barnsley Wigan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Barnsley Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Barnsley scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Wigan let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Solid form: Barnsley remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Barnsley VS Wigan
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Barnsley

(Home)
25 Aug
Barnsley
3 : 2
Crewe
22 Aug
Doncaster
0 : 0
Barnsley
15 Aug
Barnsley
0 : 1
Bromley
08 Aug
Barnsley
2 : 1
Wigan
02 Aug
Guiseley
1 : 1
Barnsley
Page 1 of 6

Wigan

(Away)
22 Aug
Wigan
0 : 2
Leyton Orient
18 Aug
Wigan
3 : 2
Aston Villa U21
15 Aug
Cambridge Utd
3 : 2
Wigan
08 Aug
Barnsley
2 : 1
Wigan
01 Aug
Grimsby
2 : 0
Wigan
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stockport County 1
Doncaster 2
Middlesbrough 1
Wrexham 0
Manchester United -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brighton -
Manchester City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cardiff 3
Swindon 2
Norwich 4
Milton Keynes Dons 1
Sunderland -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stoke City 2
Oldham 0
TBD -
Hull City -
Plymouth 2
Exeter 0
TBD -
Coventry -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aston Villa -
Chelsea -
TBD -
Gillingham 0
Luton 3
Nottingham -
TBD -
TBD -
Leeds -
Ipswich -
TBD -
Leicester 1
Northampton 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arsenal -
Colchester 0
Southampton 2
West Ham 3
Portsmouth 1
Fulham -
TBD -
AFC Wimbledon 2
Newport 1
Bournemouth -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Grimsby 1
Blackpool 3
Derby 1
Lincoln City 2
Liverpool -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tottenham -
TBD -
Cheltenham 1
Charlton 3
Cambridge Utd 2
Barnet 1
QPR 1
Millwall 2
Newcastle Utd -
TBD -
Rotherham 1
West Brom 4
Fleetwood Town 1
Chesterfield 0
Salford 1
Shrewsbury 2
Burton 1
Blackburn 2
Mansfield 0
Sheffield Utd 3
Preston 2
Huddersfield 1
TBD -
Everton -
Sheffield Wed 1
Bolton 0
Wolves 3
Port Vale 0
Bristol City 0
Walsall 1
Leyton Orient 2
Oxford Utd 0
Bradford City 2
Rochdale 0
Burnley 2
Notts County 1
Wycombe 1
Stevenage 2
Bromley 1
Reading 2
Swansea 0
Birmingham 1
TBD -
Brentford -
Watford 1
Crawley Town 0
Bristol Rovers 0
Peterborough 1
Barnsley 2
Wigan 1
Crewe 2
Accrington 1
1/32-finals
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
Doncaster 1
Middlesbrough 3
Manchester United -
TBD -
TBD -
Brighton -
Manchester City -
TBD -
Cardiff 1
Norwich 2
Sunderland -
TBD -
Stoke City 1
Hull City 2
Plymouth 2
Coventry 4
TBD -
Aston Villa -
Chelsea 2
Luton 0
Nottingham 0
Leeds 2
Ipswich 3
Leicester 1
TBD -
Arsenal -
Southampton 1
West Ham 4
Fulham 3
AFC Wimbledon 0
Bournemouth -
TBD -
Blackpool 1
Lincoln City 4
Liverpool -
TBD -
Tottenham 5
Charlton 1
Cambridge Utd 0
Millwall 1
Newcastle Utd 3
West Brom 2
Fleetwood Town 4
Shrewsbury 0
Blackburn 1
Sheffield Utd 2
Preston 0
Everton 4
Sheffield Wed 0
Wolves 2
Walsall 0
Leyton Orient 1
Bradford City 1
Burnley 0
Stevenage 0
Reading 3
Birmingham 1
Brentford 6
Watford 1
Peterborough 5
Barnsley 3
Crewe 2
1/16-finals
Crystal Palace -
Middlesbrough -
Manchester United -
Brighton -
Manchester City -
Norwich -
Sunderland -
Hull City -
Coventry -
Aston Villa -
Chelsea -
Leeds -
Ipswich -
Arsenal -
West Ham -
Fulham -
Bournemouth -
Lincoln City -
Liverpool -
Tottenham -
Millwall -
Newcastle Utd -
Fleetwood Town -
Sheffield Utd -
Everton -
Wolves -
Leyton Orient -
Bradford City -
Reading -
Brentford -
Peterborough -
Barnsley -
1/8-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -