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Barra FC (Santa Catarina) vs Maranhao

Brazil Brazil

Serie C Estádio Doutor Hercílio Luz
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Warley Jr
(Penalty)
24' Event
Pinheiro C.
33'
Alemao E.

AI Match Summary

Barra FC (Santa Catarina) in this Serie C matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Barra FC (Santa Catarina).

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
30%
Draws
34%
Maranhao
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Barra FC (Santa Catarina)

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Barra FC (Santa Catarina) have won more games recently than Maranhao.
  • Barra FC (Santa Catarina) are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Serie C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) Clean Sheet 68%
Maranhao Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barra FC (Santa Catarina) Maranhao
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 9
Draws 8 7
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 0.63 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Serie C
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) vs Maranhao
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Barra FC (Santa Catarina) Compare

Top Goalscorer Pinheiro C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Maranhao Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barra FC (Santa Catarina) 46 / 100
Maranhao 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barra FC (Santa Catarina) Maranhao

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Barra FC (Santa Catarina) found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Maranhao conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Barra FC (Santa Catarina) went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Barra FC (Santa Catarina) VS Maranhao
0.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Internacional de Limeira1474317:1425
2Brusque1473420:1524
3Santa Cruz1473415:1024
4Paysandu PA1472522:1923
5Guarani1465325:1423
6Botafogo PB1471619:1522
7Maringa FC1464427:2422
8Ferroviaria1464415:1222
9SER Caxias do Sul1456313:1021
10Floresta EC1455415:1420
11Ituano1454516:1619
12Ypiranga FC1453617:1918
13Volta Redonda1453610:1518
14Amazonas1452713:1917
15Maranhao1445511:1417
16Figueirense1445512:1817
17Itabaiana1444612:1716
18Barra FC (Santa Catarina)1436517:1615
19Confianca143298:1411
20Anapolis142399:189