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Barra FC U20 vs Nacao U20

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense U20
Our Tip

Match Events

61' Event
Thiago
68' Event
Nikolas Francisco
75' Event
Gabriel Costa

AI Match Summary

Barra FC U20 in this Catarinense U20 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Barra FC U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Barra FC U20
6%
Draws
4%
Nacao U20
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Barra FC U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Barra FC U20 have won more games recently than Nacao U20.
  • Model gives Barra FC U20 a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Catarinense U20 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Barra FC U20 here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Barra FC U20 Clean Sheet 68%
Nacao U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barra FC U20 Nacao U20
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 15 6
Draws 8 6
Losses 6 16
Goals Scored 2.25 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 1, 2026 Catarinense U20
Barra FC U20 vs Nacao U20
2:1
Jul 26, 2025 Catarinense U20
Barra FC U20 vs Nacao U20
2:0
May 24, 2025 Catarinense U20
Nacao U20 vs Barra FC U20
0:0
May 25, 2024 Catarinense U20
Barra FC U20 vs Nacao U20
3:0
Mar 27, 2024 Catarinense U20
Nacao U20 vs Barra FC U20
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Barra FC U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Nikolas Francisco
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gabriel Costa
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Nacao U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Thiago
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barra FC U20 95 / 100
Nacao U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barra FC U20 Nacao U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Barra FC U20 found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Nacao U20 has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Barra FC U20 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Barra FC U20 VS Nacao U20
2.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Barra FC U20

(Home)
19 Jul
Concordia U20
0 : 3
Barra FC U20
13 Jul
Barra FC U20
3 : 1
Carlos Renaux U20
08 Jul
Criciuma U20
2 : 1
Barra FC U20
04 Jul
Barra FC U20
3 : 0
Brusque U20
27 Jun
Figueirense U20
3 : 2
Barra FC U20
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Nacao U20

(Away)
17 Jul
Figueirense U20
2 : 0
Nacao U20
11 Jul
Nacao U20
2 : 1
Concordia U20
04 Jul
Nacao U20
0 : 1
Criciuma U20
29 Jun
Joinville U20
0 : 1
Nacao U20
24 Jun
Brusque U20
2 : 4
Nacao U20
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Barra FC U2015103237:1733
2Criciuma U201595124:832
3Avai U201586133:1230
4Chapecoense-SC U201582531:2326
5Figueirense U201555521:2020
6Nacao U201553728:2518
7Concordia U201653814:2518
8Carlos Renaux U201443714:2715
9Joinville U201533913:2812
10Brusque U2015111314:444
Promotion - Catarinense U20 (Play Offs)