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Barra Mansa vs 7 de Abril - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B2
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Match Events

3' Event
10' Event
19' Event

AI Match Summary

The Carioca B2 game between Barra Mansa and 7 de Abril finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward 7 de Abril.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Barra Mansa
20%
Draws
51%
7 de Abril
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: 7 de Abril

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and 7 de Abril come out ahead of Barra Mansa on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans 7 de Abril's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and 7 de Abril have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Barra Mansa Clean Sheet 16%
7 de Abril Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barra Mansa 7 de Abril
Matches Played 28 26
Wins 6 7
Draws 9 7
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 0.79 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2026 Carioca B2
Barra Mansa vs 7 de Abril
1:4
Oct 13, 2025 Carioca B2
7 de Abril vs Barra Mansa
2:1
Nov 11, 2024 Carioca B2
7 de Abril vs Barra Mansa
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barra Mansa 23 / 100
7 de Abril 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barra Mansa 7 de Abril

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick 7 de Abril Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

7 de Abril has conceded goals in 81% of their last 26 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.33 goals when they meet.

Barra Mansa has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Barra Mansa's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Barra Mansa VS 7 de Abril
0.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Barra Mansa

(Home)
05 Oct
Barra Mansa
0 : 0
Cardoso Moreira
01 Oct
FC Rio de Janeiro
2 : 0
Barra Mansa
28 Sept
Barra Mansa
1 : 0
Buzios
20 Sept
Paduano EC
2 : 2
Barra Mansa
14 Sept
Barra Mansa
1 : 4
7 de Abril
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7 de Abril

(Away)
06 Oct
7 de Abril
0 : 2
Belford Roxo
02 Oct
7 de Abril
1 : 2
Friburguense
27 Sept
Campos AA
1 : 2
7 de Abril
21 Sept
7 de Abril
1 : 0
Paraty
14 Sept
Barra Mansa
1 : 4
7 de Abril
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Friburguense 7 5 2 0 12:4 17
2 Serra Macaense 7 4 1 2 14:8 13
3 Cardoso Moreira 7 4 1 2 9:5 13
4 Belford Roxo 7 3 3 1 14:6 12
5 Santa Cruz RJ 7 4 0 3 9:8 12
6 Paduano EC 7 3 2 2 9:6 11
7 FC Rio de Janeiro 7 3 1 3 11:7 10
8 7 de Abril 7 3 1 3 10:10 10
9 Campos AA 7 2 3 2 11:11 9
10 Barra Mansa 7 1 4 2 6:10 7
11 Buzios 7 1 0 6 5:18 3
12 Paraty 7 0 0 7 4:21 0
Promotion - Carioca B2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca C 2027 (Main)