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Barra Mansa vs Goytacaz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B2 2025
Thu, Nov 6, 2025
0 - 3
06:00 PM
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AI Match Summary

Barra Mansa host Goytacaz in the Carioca B2 2025. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Barra Mansa have averaged 0.79 scored and 1.43 conceded recently, against Goytacaz's 1.28 scored and 0.9 conceded. Past meetings favor Goytacaz slightly — 0-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Nov 6, 2025, ending 0:3. xG projections (0.58 - 0.98) back Goytacaz to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Barra Mansa
30%
Draws
47%
Goytacaz
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Goytacaz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Goytacaz carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Goytacaz a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Barra Mansa Clean Sheet 20%
Goytacaz Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barra Mansa Goytacaz
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 6 13
Draws 9 8
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 0.79 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.43 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 0.58 0.98
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 6, 2025 Carioca B2
Barra Mansa vs Goytacaz
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barra Mansa 28 / 100
Goytacaz 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barra Mansa Goytacaz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Goytacaz Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Goytacaz conceded in 74% of 27 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Barra Mansa stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Barra Mansa's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Barra Mansa VS Goytacaz
0.5 Goals Scored 0.83
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.67
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 33%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Barra Mansa

(Home)
05 Oct
Barra Mansa
0 : 0
Cardoso Moreira
01 Oct
FC Rio de Janeiro
2 : 0
Barra Mansa
28 Sept
Barra Mansa
1 : 0
Buzios
20 Sept
Paduano EC
2 : 2
Barra Mansa
14 Sept
Barra Mansa
1 : 4
7 de Abril
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Goytacaz

(Away)
03 Oct
Goytacaz
2 : 1
Duque de Caxias
26 Sept
Nova Cidade
1 : 2
Goytacaz
19 Sept
Goytacaz
0 : 2
Goncalense
12 Sept
Serrano FC
0 : 0
Goytacaz
05 Sept
Goytacaz
1 : 0
Macae
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santa Cruz RJ 8 7 1 0 14:3 22
2 Belford Roxo 8 5 1 2 17:8 16
3 Goytacaz 8 5 1 2 13:8 16
4 Macae 8 4 1 3 13:5 13
5 Serra Macaense 8 3 4 1 9:7 13
6 Paraty 8 2 2 4 9:10 8
7 7 de Abril 8 2 2 4 11:13 8
8 FC Rio de Janeiro 8 1 0 7 7:25 3
9 Barra Mansa 8 0 2 6 4:18 2
Promotion - Carioca B2 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca C (Main)