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Barra Mansa vs Grande Rio Brescia Clube

Brazil Brazil

Carioca C
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Santanna M.
85'
Pimentel B.
90' Event
Silva L.

AI Match Summary

Grande Rio Brescia Clube in this Carioca C matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Grande Rio Brescia Clube.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Barra Mansa
39%
Draws
31%
Grande Rio Brescia Clube
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Barra Mansa have won more games recently than Grande Rio Brescia Clube.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Carioca C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24%
Barra Mansa Clean Sheet 68%
Grande Rio Brescia Clube Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barra Mansa Grande Rio Brescia Clube
Matches Played 27 9
Wins 8 3
Draws 8 2
Losses 11 4
Goals Scored 1.13 1
Goals Conceded 0.5 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Carioca C
Barra Mansa vs Grande Rio Brescia Clube
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Barra Mansa Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Grande Rio Brescia Clube Compare

Top Goalscorer Santanna M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Silva L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barra Mansa 41 / 100
Grande Rio Brescia Clube 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barra Mansa Grande Rio Brescia Clube

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Barra Mansa stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Grande Rio Brescia Clube's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 9 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Grande Rio Brescia Clube registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Barra Mansa VS Grande Rio Brescia Clube
1.13 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Barra Mansa

(Home)
12 Jul
Barra Mansa
0 : 0
Uni Souza
07 Jul
Uni Souza
0 : 0
Barra Mansa
03 Jul
Barra Mansa
2 : 2
Cardoso Moreira
07 Jun
Barra Mansa
3 : 0
Mageense
31 May
Barcelona EC
0 : 2
Barra Mansa
Page 1 of 6

Grande Rio Brescia Clube

(Away)
12 Jul
Cardoso Moreira
0 : 0
Grande Rio Brescia Clube
06 Jul
Grande Rio Brescia Clube
0 : 1
Cardoso Moreira
28 Jun
Grande Rio Brescia Clube
0 : 2
Rio Barra
07 Jun
Independente RJ
1 : 0
Grande Rio Brescia Clube
31 May
Grande Rio Brescia Clube
3 : 0
Uniao Central
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cardoso Moreira871015:222
2Tigres Brasil852115:617
3Campos AA852115:717
4Grande Rio Brescia Clube73138:610
5Mageense62136:137
6Barcelona EC82065:216
7Itaborai Profute61329:96
8EC Vera Cruz81079:213
Promotion - Carioca C (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca C (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Barra Mansa74129:513
2Rio Barra841313:1013
3Buzios733115:612
4Uni Souza831415:1110
5Uniao Central831411:1510
6Ceres630310:119
7Caac Brazil82158:167
8Independente RJ71244:85
Promotion - Carioca C (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca C (Placement Play Offs)