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Barra SE vs Flamengo SE - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Sergipano 2 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Barra SE in this Sergipano 2 2024 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Barra SE.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Barra SE
15%
Draws
0%
Flamengo SE
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Barra SE

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Barra SE lately — more wins on the board than Flamengo SE.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Sergipano 2 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Barra SE Clean Sheet 68%
Flamengo SE Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barra SE Flamengo SE
Matches Played 26 22
Wins 11 9
Draws 6 1
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.5 1.09
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 16, 2024 Sergipano 2
Barra SE vs Flamengo SE
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barra SE 41 / 100
Flamengo SE 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barra SE Flamengo SE

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Barra SE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Flamengo SE's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Barra SE scored in 73% of their last 26 games.

Flamengo SE's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 22 matches.

Scoring Trends

Barra SE VS Flamengo SE
1 Goals Scored 1
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Barra SE

(Home)
01 Mar
Itabaiana
4 : 2
Barra SE
22 Feb
Barra SE
0 : 2
Dorense
15 Feb
Confianca
8 : 1
Barra SE
09 Feb
Barra SE
1 : 0
America de Propria
03 Feb
Barra SE
3 : 2
Carmopolis
Page 1 of 6

Flamengo SE

(Away)
01 Nov
Flamengo SE
0 : 4
Frei Paulistano
25 Oct
Olimpico EC
4 : 1
Flamengo SE
18 Oct
Flamengo SE
1 : 2
Atletico Central
15 Oct
Caninde
1 : 0
Flamengo SE
09 Oct
Flamengo SE
0 : 1
Desportiva Aracaju
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guarany SE 5 4 1 0 14:2 13
2 America de Pedrinhas 5 4 1 0 13:4 13
3 Desportiva Aracaju 5 4 0 1 16:5 12
4 Frei Paulistano 5 2 2 1 8:6 8
5 Flamengo SE 5 0 1 4 3:16 1
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barra SE 5 2 2 1 7:6 8
2 Atletico Central 5 1 1 3 5:7 4
3 Independente SE 5 1 1 3 6:9 4
4 Boca Junior 5 1 1 3 7:12 4
5 Caninde 5 1 0 4 8:20 3
Promotion - Sergipano 2 2024 (Play Offs)