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Barra SE vs Lagarto

Brazil Brazil

Sergipano 2025
Barra SE Logo

Barra SE

0 - 5
FT
Lagarto Logo

Lagarto

Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Indio
Own Goal
27' Event
Miller
38' Event
Rhuan
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Sergipano 2025 game between Barra SE and Lagarto finished 0-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lagarto.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Barra SE
15%
Draws
34%
Lagarto
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Barra SE

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Barra SE's 1.5 goals per match outpaces what Lagarto have produced (1.35).
  • Lagarto are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Sergipano 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Barra SE Clean Sheet 20%
Lagarto Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barra SE Lagarto
Matches Played 26 31
Wins 11 11
Draws 6 10
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.5 1.35
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 23, 2025 Sergipano
Barra SE vs Lagarto
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Barra SE Compare

Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83

Lagarto Compare

Top Goalscorer Miller
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rhuan
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barra SE 16 / 100
Lagarto 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barra SE Lagarto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lagarto Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Barra SE's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

Lagarto let in goals in 65% of their last 31 matches.

Lagarto lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Lagarto
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Barra SE

(Home)
01 Mar
Itabaiana
4 : 2
Barra SE
22 Feb
Barra SE
0 : 2
Dorense
15 Feb
Confianca
8 : 1
Barra SE
09 Feb
Barra SE
1 : 0
America de Propria
03 Feb
Barra SE
3 : 2
Carmopolis
Page 1 of 6

Lagarto

(Away)
19 Aug
Desportiva Aracaju
2 : 0
Lagarto
13 Aug
Atletico Gloriense
0 : 0
Lagarto
10 Aug
Desportiva Aracaju
2 : 0
Lagarto
05 Aug
Lagarto
2 : 0
Guarany SE
01 Aug
Lagarto
1 : 2
Falcon
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Confianca 9 6 2 1 26:8 20
2 Itabaiana 9 5 4 0 18:7 19
3 Lagarto 9 5 2 2 20:8 17
4 America de Propria 9 4 3 2 10:6 15
5 Guarany SE 9 4 1 4 9:19 13
6 Falcon 9 4 0 5 11:15 12
7 Sergipe 9 3 2 4 10:11 11
8 Dorense 9 2 2 5 7:12 8
9 Barra SE 9 2 1 6 8:27 7
10 Carmopolis 9 0 3 6 10:16 3
Promotion - Sergipano 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Sergipano 2025 (Play Offs)