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Stadium Background

Barranquilla vs Independiente Valle del Cauca Prediction & H2H Stats

Colombia Colombia

Primera B Estadio Romelio Martinez, Barranquilla
Our Tip

Match Events

27'
Bolivar M.
30'
Sub
Ordonez J. In: Diaz J.
Out: Ordonez J.
44'
Orozco A.

AI Match Summary

Independiente Valle del Cauca in this Primera B matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Independiente Valle del Cauca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Barranquilla
15%
Draws
65%
Independiente Valle del Cauca
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Independiente Valle del Cauca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Independiente Valle del Cauca have won more games recently than Barranquilla.
  • 65% — that's where the model lands on Independiente Valle del Cauca taking it.
  • Regular Primera B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Barranquilla Clean Sheet 16%
Independiente Valle del Cauca Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barranquilla Independiente Valle del Cauca
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 10
Draws 8 9
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.28 1
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2026 Primera B
Barranquilla vs Independiente Valle del Cauca
0:2
Mar 11, 2026 Primera B
Independiente Valle del Cauca vs Barranquilla
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Barranquilla Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Independiente Valle del Cauca Compare

Top Goalscorer Pena F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Palacios J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barranquilla 19 / 100
Independiente Valle del Cauca 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barranquilla Independiente Valle del Cauca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Independiente Valle del Cauca Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Barranquilla scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Independiente Valle del Cauca's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Barranquilla remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Barranquilla VS Independiente Valle del Cauca
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Barranquilla

(Home)
27 Sept
Barranquilla
0 : 1
Real Cundinamarca
21 Sept
Bogota
2 : 1
Barranquilla
15 Sept
Barranquilla
0 : 2
Independiente Valle del Cauca
10 Sept
Patriotas
3 : 1
Barranquilla
05 Sept
Union Magdalena
1 : 2
Barranquilla
Page 1 of 6

Independiente Valle del Cauca

(Away)
28 Sept
Independiente Valle del Cauca
4 : 3
Orsomarso
22 Sept
Independiente Valle del Cauca
0 : 1
Inter Palmira
15 Sept
Barranquilla
0 : 2
Independiente Valle del Cauca
09 Sept
Independiente Valle del Cauca
0 : 0
Quindio
04 Sept
Bogota
0 : 2
Independiente Valle del Cauca
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Cundinamarca 10 6 2 2 17:9 20
2 Independiente Valle del Cauca 10 6 2 2 14:6 20
3 Tigres Futbol Club 10 5 3 2 12:4 18
4 Patriotas 10 5 2 3 17:16 17
5 Cartagena 10 4 3 3 17:11 15
6 Boca Juniors de Cali 9 4 2 3 14:11 14
7 Atletico F.C. 10 4 2 4 12:15 14
8 Inter Palmira 10 4 2 4 8:11 14
9 Quindio 10 3 4 3 8:8 13
10 Real Santander 10 2 6 2 12:15 12
11 Bogota 10 3 2 5 6:10 11
12 Envigado 9 2 4 3 9:8 10
13 Orsomarso 9 2 3 4 7:10 9
14 Leones 10 2 3 5 7:16 9
15 Union Magdalena 9 2 2 5 6:10 8
16 Barranquilla 10 2 2 6 10:16 8
Promotion - Primera B (Clausura - Quadrangular)