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Barreiras vs Vitoria da Conquista Prediction & H2H Stats

Brazil Brazil

Baiano 2
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Lucas S.
69' Event
Lelo
84' Event
Santos A.

AI Match Summary

Barreiras in this Baiano 2 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Barreiras.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Barreiras
15%
Draws
26%
Vitoria da Conquista
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Barreiras

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Vitoria da Conquista have won more games recently than Barreiras.
  • Model gives Barreiras a 59% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Baiano 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Barreiras Clean Sheet 20%
Vitoria da Conquista Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barreiras Vitoria da Conquista
Matches Played 11 30
Wins 8 9
Draws 0 9
Losses 3 12
Goals Scored 2.09 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.09 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2026 Baiano 2
Barreiras vs Vitoria da Conquista
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Barreiras Compare

Top Goalscorer Lucas S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lelo
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Vitoria da Conquista Compare

Top Goalscorer Santos A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barreiras 58 / 100
Vitoria da Conquista 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barreiras Vitoria da Conquista

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Barreiras Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Barreiras scored in 91% of their last 11 outings.

Vitoria da Conquista let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Barreiras has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Barreiras VS Vitoria da Conquista
2.5 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Barreiras

(Home)
18 Jul
SSA
3 : 1
Barreiras
11 Jul
Barreiras
2 : 1
SSA
05 Jul
SSA
1 : 0
Barreiras
21 Jun
Barreiras
2 : 1
Vitoria da Conquista
12 Jun
Leonico
1 : 2
Barreiras
Page 1 of 3

Vitoria da Conquista

(Away)
05 Jul
Vitoria da Conquista
2 : 2
Fluminense de Feira
21 Jun
Barreiras
2 : 1
Vitoria da Conquista
14 Jun
Vitoria da Conquista
0 : 1
Redencao
06 Jun
Camacari
2 : 5
Vitoria da Conquista
31 May
Vitoria da Conquista
0 : 2
Grapiuna
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fluminense de Feira 9 8 1 0 33:5 25
2 SSA 9 7 0 2 19:5 21
3 Barreiras 9 7 0 2 20:8 21
4 Feira FC 9 6 1 2 27:4 19
5 Redencao 9 4 2 3 16:11 14
6 Leonico 9 3 1 5 16:24 10
7 Jacobina 9 2 1 6 9:23 7
8 Grapiuna 9 2 1 6 8:26 7
9 Vitoria da Conquista 9 1 3 5 9:15 6
10 Camacari 9 0 0 9 5:41 0
Promotion - Baiano 2 (Play Offs)