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Barreirense vs Morabeza - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Cape Verde Cape Verde

Campeonato Nacional 2024
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Match Events

29' Event
Monteiro F.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Nacional 2024 game between Barreirense and Morabeza finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Morabeza.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Barreirense
30%
Draws
37%
Morabeza
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Morabeza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Morabeza carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Barreirense taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato Nacional 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Barreirense Clean Sheet 20%
Morabeza Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barreirense Morabeza
Matches Played 22 31
Wins 4 8
Draws 7 13
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.14 0.94
Goals Conceded 1.64 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 9, 2024 Campeonato Nacional
Morabeza vs Barreirense
1:1
May 12, 2024 Campeonato Nacional
Barreirense vs Morabeza
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Barreirense Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Morabeza Compare

Top Goalscorer Monteiro F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barreirense 42 / 100
Morabeza 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barreirense Morabeza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Barreirense scored in 64% of their last 22 games.

Morabeza let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Barreirense has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Barreirense VS Morabeza
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Barreirense

(Home)
15 Jun
Barreirense
0 : 2
Palmeira
09 Jun
Morabeza
1 : 1
Barreirense
26 May
GD Varandinha
2 : 3
Barreirense
18 May
Barreirense
3 : 1
GD Varandinha
12 May
Barreirense
0 : 1
Morabeza
Page 1 of 5

Morabeza

(Away)
15 Jun
GD Varandinha
1 : 2
Morabeza
09 Jun
Morabeza
1 : 1
Barreirense
26 May
Morabeza
2 : 2
Palmeira
18 May
Palmeira
2 : 0
Morabeza
12 May
Barreirense
0 : 1
Morabeza
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Academico do Sal 6 3 1 2 9:8 10
2 Academica do Fogo 6 2 2 2 11:6 8
3 Rosariense 6 2 2 2 5:7 8
4 Juventude 6 1 3 2 8:12 6
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palmeira 6 3 3 0 13:5 12
2 Morabeza 6 2 3 1 7:7 9
3 Barreirense 6 2 2 2 8:8 8
4 GD Varandinha 6 0 2 4 7:15 2
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boavista da Praia 6 5 1 0 12:2 16
2 FC Derby 6 3 2 1 7:4 11
3 Ultramarina 6 1 1 4 5:13 4
4 Sanjoanenses 6 0 2 4 3:8 2
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams