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Barretos EC vs Colorado Caieiras

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Paulista A4 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Barretos EC
17%
Draws
13%
Colorado Caieiras
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Barretos EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Barretos EC lately — more wins on the board than Colorado Caieiras.
  • Barretos EC are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Paulista A4 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Barretos EC Clean Sheet 68%
Colorado Caieiras Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barretos EC Colorado Caieiras
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 8 7
Draws 12 14
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 0.75 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 30, 2026 Paulista A4
Barretos EC vs Colorado Caieiras
0:0
Jan 22, 2025 Paulista A4
Colorado Caieiras vs Barretos EC
0:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barretos EC 77 / 100
Colorado Caieiras 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barretos EC Colorado Caieiras

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Colorado Caieiras let in goals in 69% of their last 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Barretos EC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Colorado Caieiras lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Barretos EC VS Colorado Caieiras
0.75 Goals Scored 0.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Inter de Bebedouro15103221:633
2Sao Caetano1592423:1429
3Penapolense1585222:1029
4Sao-Carlense1575320:1326
5Barretos EC1575312:1026
6Taquaritinga1573520:1324
7Jacarei FC1565411:923
8Lemense1564514:1222
9ECUS SP1557311:622
10Comercial1562717:1620
11Tanabi1546512:1018
12Jabaquara1544714:1716
13Vocem1536612:1315
14Colorado Caieiras151776:2010
15Nacional SP1522117:228
16AEA Aracatuba1512126:375