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Barretos EC vs Votuporanguense

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A3 2023
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AI Match Summary

Barretos EC in this Paulista A3 2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Barretos EC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Barretos EC
30%
Draws
41%
Votuporanguense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Votuporanguense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Barretos EC haven't matched Votuporanguense's recent run of results.
  • 41% — that's where the model lands on Votuporanguense taking it.
  • Regular Paulista A3 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Barretos EC Clean Sheet 16%
Votuporanguense Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barretos EC Votuporanguense
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 12
Draws 12 7
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 0.73 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 12, 2023 Paulista A3
Barretos EC vs Votuporanguense
1:0
Feb 6, 2022 Paulista A3
Votuporanguense vs Barretos EC
0:0
May 22, 2021 Paulista A3
Barretos EC vs Votuporanguense
1:0
Dec 29, 2017 Club Friendly
Votuporanguense vs Barretos EC
1:2
Feb 4, 2017 Paulista A2
Votuporanguense vs Barretos EC
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barretos EC 15 / 100
Votuporanguense 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barretos EC Votuporanguense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Votuporanguense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Votuporanguense let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Barretos EC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Barretos EC scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Barretos EC VS Votuporanguense
0.75 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Barretos EC

(Home)
19 Apr
Sao-Carlense
1 : 0
Barretos EC
10 Apr
Barretos EC
1 : 1
Sao-Carlense
04 Apr
Taquaritinga
2 : 0
Barretos EC
28 Mar
Barretos EC
1 : 0
Nacional SP
25 Mar
Penapolense
1 : 1
Barretos EC
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Votuporanguense

(Away)
28 Apr
Votuporanguense
0 : 0
Juventus-SP
21 Apr
Juventus-SP
2 : 1
Votuporanguense
15 Apr
Ituano
2 : 1
Votuporanguense
08 Apr
Votuporanguense
5 : 1
Agua Santa
28 Mar
Votuporanguense
2 : 1
Piracicaba
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marilia 15 9 2 4 25:15 29
2 Sao Jose EC 15 8 3 4 13:12 27
3 Capivariano 15 7 6 2 28:11 27
4 Gremio Prudente 15 7 3 5 21:16 24
5 Desportivo 15 7 3 5 14:9 24
6 EC Sao Bernardo 15 7 1 7 17:16 22
7 Uniao Suzano 15 6 3 6 21:18 21
8 Matonense 15 6 2 7 21:18 20
9 Bandeirante 15 5 5 5 19:15 20
10 Red Bull Brasil 15 5 4 6 24:23 19
11 Rio Preto EC 15 5 4 6 15:21 19
12 Itapirense 15 4 7 4 11:17 19
13 Votuporanguense 15 4 5 6 14:19 17
14 Sertaozinho 15 5 1 9 15:26 16
15 Barretos EC 15 4 4 7 18:29 16
16 Audax-SP 15 3 3 9 8:19 12
Promotion - Paulista A3 2023 (Second stage)