Sport Picks
Barrow vs Chesterfield
England
League Two 2025/2026 Holker Street, Barrow in Furness 
Match Events
17'
17'
Sub
Stirk R. In: Dobra A.
Out: Stirk R.
18'
18'
Curtis S.
45'
45'
McFadzean K.
AI Match Summary
The League Two 2025/2026 game between Barrow and Chesterfield finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chesterfield.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Barrow
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Chesterfield come out ahead of Barrow on wins alone.
- Model gives Barrow a 90% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Chesterfield have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Barrow Clean Sheet 68%
Chesterfield Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Barrow | Chesterfield |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 11 |
| Draws | 4 | 11 |
| Losses | 17 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.38 | 0.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 6, 2026 League Two
Barrow vs Chesterfield
0:1
Aug 2, 2025 League Two
Chesterfield vs Barrow
1:0
Mar 29, 2025 League Two
Barrow vs Chesterfield
0:1
Nov 23, 2024 League Two
Chesterfield vs Barrow
1:0
Apr 13, 2020 National League
Barrow vs Chesterfield
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Barrow Compare
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Chesterfield Compare
Top Goalscorer Berry-McNally J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Barrow 95 / 100
Chesterfield 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Barrow Chesterfield
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick BAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Solid form: Barrow remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Barrow scored in 66% of their last 29 games.
Defensive concern: Chesterfield conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.
Historical meetings average 0.80 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Barrow VS Chesterfield
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Barrow
(Home) 01 Aug
Morecambe
0 : 1 Barrow
25 Jul
Barrow
2 : 0 Blackpool
21 Jul
Radcliffe
0 : 0 Barrow
18 Jul
Barrow
4 : 3 Mansfield
11 Jul
Barrow
2 : 0 Workington
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
Barrow
2 : 0 Blackpool
18 Jul
Barrow
4 : 3 Mansfield
11 Jul
Barrow
2 : 0 Workington
02 May
Barrow
1 : 2 Newport
18 Apr
Barrow
1 : 3 Walsall
Page 1 of 3
Chesterfield
(Away) 31 Jul
Scunthorpe
1 : 1 Chesterfield
14 Jul
Halifax
3 : 2 Chesterfield
11 Jul
Chesterfield
0 : 0 Sheffield Utd
15 May
Notts County
0 : 0 Chesterfield
10 May
Chesterfield
0 : 1 Notts County
Page 1 of 6
31 Jul
Scunthorpe
1 : 1 Chesterfield
14 Jul
Halifax
3 : 2 Chesterfield
15 May
Notts County
0 : 0 Chesterfield
02 May
Swindon
1 : 2 Chesterfield
18 Apr
Fleetwood Town
1 : 1 Chesterfield
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bromley | 46 | 24 | 15 | 7 | 71:46 | 87 |
| 2 | Milton Keynes Dons | 46 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 86:45 | 86 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 46 | 22 | 16 | 8 | 66:33 | 82 |
| 4 | Salford | 46 | 25 | 6 | 15 | 61:51 | 81 |
| 5 | Notts County | 46 | 24 | 8 | 14 | 74:52 | 80 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 46 | 21 | 16 | 9 | 71:56 | 79 |
| 7 | Grimsby | 46 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 74:50 | 78 |
| 8 | Barnet | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 70:53 | 76 |
| 9 | Swindon | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 70:59 | 75 |
| 10 | Oldham | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 60:44 | 68 |
| 11 | Crewe | 46 | 19 | 10 | 17 | 64:58 | 67 |
| 12 | Colchester | 46 | 18 | 12 | 16 | 62:49 | 66 |
| 13 | Walsall | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 56:56 | 65 |
| 14 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 56:65 | 62 |
| 15 | Fleetwood Town | 46 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 57:58 | 61 |
| 16 | Accrington | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 47:58 | 53 |
| 17 | Gillingham | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 53:72 | 53 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 53:79 | 52 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 42:69 | 49 |
| 20 | Newport | 46 | 12 | 7 | 27 | 48:77 | 43 |
| 21 | Tranmere | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 54:79 | 41 |
| 22 | Crawley Town | 46 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 44:68 | 40 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 46 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 39:68 | 39 |
| 24 | Barrow | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 45:78 | 36 |
Promotion - League One (Main)
Promotion - League Two 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - National League (Main)
