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Barrow vs Mansfield

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Smith M.
39' Event
Hendry R.
49' Event
Reid A.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Barrow and Mansfield finished 4-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Barrow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Barrow
35%
Draws
26%
Mansfield
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Barrow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mansfield come out ahead of Barrow on wins alone.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Barrow taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Barrow Clean Sheet 18%
Mansfield Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barrow Mansfield
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 10
Draws 7 9
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.21 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Club Friendly
Barrow vs Mansfield
4:3
Apr 27, 2024 League Two
Barrow vs Mansfield
1:1
Sep 23, 2023 League Two
Mansfield vs Barrow
1:0
Jan 7, 2023 League Two
Mansfield vs Barrow
2:3
Nov 5, 2022 FA Cup
Barrow vs Mansfield
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Barrow Compare

Top Goalscorer Reid A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Whitfield B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Mansfield Compare

Top Goalscorer Smith M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hendry R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barrow 76 / 100
Mansfield 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barrow Mansfield

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Barrow Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Barrow scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Mansfield's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Barrow stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Barrow VS Mansfield
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Barrow

(Home)
12 Sept
Worthing FC
2 : 2
Barrow
05 Sept
Barrow
3 : 0
Sutton
31 Aug
Kidderminster
1 : 1
Barrow
28 Aug
Barrow
1 : 2
Yeovil
22 Aug
Harrogate
2 : 2
Barrow
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Mansfield

(Away)
12 Sept
Mansfield
0 : 0
Huddersfield
05 Sept
Bradford City
1 : 0
Mansfield
02 Sept
Reading
5 : 0
Mansfield
30 Aug
Mansfield
5 : 2
Luton
22 Aug
Peterborough
2 : 1
Mansfield
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