Sport Picks
Match Events
28'
28'
Sub
Frokjaer-Jensen M. In: McCann A.
Out: Frokjaer-Jensen M.
55'
55'
Sub
Devine A. In: Whiteman B.
Out: Devine A.
55'
55'
Sub
Carroll T. In: Small T.
Out: Carroll T.
AI Match Summary
Preston in this EFL Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Barrow
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Barrow lately — more wins on the board than Preston.
- 90% — that's where the model lands on Barrow taking it.
- Barrow have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Preston, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Barrow Clean Sheet 68%
Preston Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Barrow | Preston |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 7 |
| Draws | 4 | 5 |
| Losses | 17 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.00 | 1.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 12, 2025 EFL Cup
Barrow vs Preston
0:1
Jul 15, 2023 Club Friendly
Barrow vs Preston
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Barrow 95 / 100
Preston 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Barrow Preston
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick BAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Preston conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.
Barrow went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Preston lost 5 of their last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: Barrow scored in 66% of their last 29 outings.
Scoring Trends
Barrow VS Preston
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Barrow
(Home) 01 Aug
Morecambe
0 : 1 Barrow
25 Jul
Barrow
2 : 0 Blackpool
21 Jul
Radcliffe
0 : 0 Barrow
18 Jul
Barrow
4 : 3 Mansfield
11 Jul
Barrow
2 : 0 Workington
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
Barrow
2 : 0 Blackpool
18 Jul
Barrow
4 : 3 Mansfield
11 Jul
Barrow
2 : 0 Workington
02 May
Barrow
1 : 2 Newport
18 Apr
Barrow
1 : 3 Walsall
Page 1 of 3
Preston
(Away) 01 Aug
Stockport County
1 : 0 Preston
29 Jul
Bradford City
3 : 2 Preston
25 Jul
Marine
3 : 0 Preston
24 Jul
Preston
0 : 1 Cambridge Utd
18 Jul
Sheffield Wed
3 : 2 Preston
Page 1 of 6
01 Aug
Stockport County
1 : 0 Preston
29 Jul
Bradford City
3 : 2 Preston
25 Jul
Marine
3 : 0 Preston
18 Jul
Sheffield Wed
3 : 2 Preston
25 Apr
Sheffield Utd
2 : 3 Preston
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Barrow 0
Preston 1
Wrexham 4
Hull City 3
Portsmouth 1
Reading 2
Gillingham 1
AFC Wimbledon 2
Burnley -
TBD -
West Brom 1
Derby 2
Cardiff 2
Swindon 1
Cheltenham 2
Exeter 0
Wolves -
TBD -
TBD -
West Ham -
Everton -
TBD -
Chesterfield 0
Mansfield 2
Tranmere 1
Burton 2
Harrogate 1
Lincoln City 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chelsea -
Birmingham 2
Sheffield Utd 1
Blackpool 0
Port Vale 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arsenal -
Barnsley 3
Fleetwood Town 2
Salford 0
Rotherham 1
Oxford Utd 1
Colchester 0
TBD -
Brighton -
Liverpool -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Watford 1
Norwich 2
Northampton 0
Southampton 1
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Newport 0
Millwall 1
Coventry 1
Luton 0
Newcastle Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stoke City 1
Walsall 0
Blackburn 1
Bradford City 2
Tottenham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Accrington 2
Peterborough 1
Middlesbrough 0
Doncaster 4
Wigan 1
Notts County 0
Stockport County 3
Crewe 1
Bromley 2
Ipswich 1
Leyton Orient 0
Wycombe 1
Fulham -
TBD -
Bristol City 2
Milton Keynes Dons 0
Bristol Rovers 0
Cambridge Utd 2
Charlton 3
Stevenage 1
Swansea 3
Crawley Town 1
Plymouth 3
QPR 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nottingham -
Sunderland -
TBD -
Huddersfield 3
Leicester 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Manchester City -
Bolton 3
Sheffield Wed 4
TBD -
Leeds -
Grimsby 3
Shrewsbury 1
TBD -
Manchester United -
Bournemouth -
TBD -
TBD -
Brentford -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/32-finals
Preston 2
Wrexham 3
Reading 2
AFC Wimbledon 1
Burnley 2
Derby 1
Cardiff 3
Cheltenham 0
Wolves 3
West Ham 2
Everton 2
Mansfield 0
Burton 0
Lincoln City 1
TBD -
Chelsea -
Birmingham 0
Port Vale 1
TBD -
Arsenal -
Barnsley 2
Rotherham 1
Oxford Utd 0
Brighton 6
Liverpool -
TBD -
Norwich 0
Southampton 3
Crystal Palace -
TBD -
Millwall 2
Coventry 1
Newcastle Utd -
TBD -
Stoke City 0
Bradford City 3
Tottenham -
TBD -
Accrington 0
Doncaster 2
Wigan 1
Stockport County 0
Bromley 1
Wycombe 2
Fulham 2
Bristol City 0
Cambridge Utd 3
Charlton 1
Swansea 2
Plymouth 1
TBD -
Nottingham -
Sunderland 1
Huddersfield 2
TBD -
Manchester City -
Sheffield Wed 2
Leeds 1
Grimsby 3
Manchester United 2
Bournemouth 0
Brentford 2
TBD -
Aston Villa -
1/16-finals
Wrexham 2
Reading 0
Burnley 1
Cardiff 2
Wolves 2
Everton 0
Lincoln City 1
Chelsea 2
Port Vale 0
Arsenal 2
Barnsley 0
Brighton 6
Liverpool 2
Southampton 1
Crystal Palace 2
Millwall 1
Newcastle Utd 4
Bradford City 1
Tottenham 3
Doncaster 0
Wigan 0
Wycombe 2
Fulham 1
Cambridge Utd 0
Swansea 3
Nottingham 2
Huddersfield 0
Manchester City 2
Sheffield Wed 0
Grimsby 1
Brentford 2
Aston Villa 1
1/8-finals
Wrexham 1
Cardiff 2
Wolves 3
Chelsea 4
Arsenal 2
Brighton 0
Liverpool 0
Crystal Palace 3
Newcastle Utd 2
Tottenham 0
Wycombe 1
Fulham 2
Swansea 1
Manchester City 3
Grimsby 0
Brentford 5
Quarter-finals
Cardiff 1
Chelsea 3
Arsenal 2
Crystal Palace 1
Newcastle Utd 2
Fulham 1
Manchester City 2
Brentford 0
Semi-finals
Chelsea 2
Arsenal 4
Newcastle Utd 1
Manchester City 5
Final
Arsenal 0
Manchester City 2
