Sport Picks

England

EFL Trophy 2025/2026 Holker Street, Barrow in Furness

Barrow

1 - 2

Tranmere

Our Tip

Match Events

Newby E.

Assist: Walker T.

22'

Whitaker C.

Assist: Norman C.

45'

Booty R.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Tranmere in this EFL Trophy 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

Barrow

35%

Draws

35%

Tranmere

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence

Tranmere haven't matched Barrow's recent run of results.
30% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
Barrow have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Tranmere, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%

Barrow Clean Sheet 19%

Tranmere Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Barrow	Tranmere
Matches Played	29	28
Wins	8	5
Draws	7	6
Losses	14	17
Goals Scored	1.21	0.96
Goals Conceded	1.59	1.68
Expected Goals (xG)	1.31	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 29, 2025 League Two

Tranmere vs Barrow

1:3

Dec 9, 2025 League Two

Barrow vs Tranmere

0:3

Oct 7, 2025 EFL Trophy

Barrow vs Tranmere

1:2

Apr 21, 2025 League Two

Barrow vs Tranmere

0:0

Dec 29, 2024 League Two

Tranmere vs Barrow

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Barrow Compare

Top Goalscorer Newby E.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.01

Avg xA / game 0.66

Tranmere Compare

Top Goalscorer Whitaker C.

2 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barrow 31 / 100

Tranmere 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Barrow Tranmere

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Barrow Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tranmere let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Barrow scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Solid form: Barrow remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Barrow VS Tranmere

1.38 Goals Scored 1.38

1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25

88% Over 1.5 88%

50% Over 2.5 38%

13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Barrow

(Home)

15 Sept

Solihull Moors

1 : 0

Barrow

12 Sept

Worthing FC

2 : 2

Barrow

05 Sept

Barrow

3 : 0

Sutton

31 Aug

Kidderminster

1 : 1

Barrow

28 Aug

Barrow

1 : 2

Yeovil

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Tranmere

(Away)

12 Sept

Gillingham

2 : 0

Tranmere

05 Sept

Tranmere

2 : 0

Oldham

01 Sept

Tranmere

2 : 2

Rotherham

29 Aug

Newport

2 : 2

Tranmere

22 Aug

Port Vale

1 : 1

Tranmere

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