Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Barrow vs Tranmere

England England

EFL Trophy 2025/2026 Holker Street, Barrow in Furness
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Newby E.
Assist: Walker T.
22' Event
Whitaker C.
Assist: Norman C.
45'
Booty R.

AI Match Summary

Tranmere in this EFL Trophy 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Barrow
6%
Draws
4%
Tranmere
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Barrow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Tranmere haven't matched Barrow's recent run of results.
  • Barrow are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Barrow have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Tranmere, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Barrow Clean Sheet 17%
Tranmere Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barrow Tranmere
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 6
Draws 4 3
Losses 18 20
Goals Scored 1.38 1
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 29, 2025 League Two
Tranmere vs Barrow
1:3
Dec 9, 2025 League Two
Barrow vs Tranmere
0:3
Oct 7, 2025 EFL Trophy
Barrow vs Tranmere
1:2
Apr 21, 2025 League Two
Barrow vs Tranmere
0:0
Dec 29, 2024 League Two
Tranmere vs Barrow
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Barrow Compare

Top Goalscorer Newby E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Tranmere Compare

Top Goalscorer Whitaker C.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barrow 84 / 100
Tranmere 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barrow Tranmere

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Barrow went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Barrow scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Tranmere conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Barrow VS Tranmere
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Barrow

(Home)
25 Jul
Barrow
2 : 0
Blackpool
21 Jul
Radcliffe
0 : 0
Barrow
18 Jul
Barrow
4 : 3
Mansfield
11 Jul
Barrow
2 : 0
Workington
04 Jul
Holker Old Boys
0 : 2
Barrow
Page 1 of 6

Tranmere

(Away)
18 Jul
Tranmere
2 : 0
Blackpool
02 May
Tranmere
1 : 1
Grimsby
25 Apr
Milton Keynes Dons
3 : 0
Tranmere
21 Apr
Cheltenham
1 : 3
Tranmere
18 Apr
Tranmere
1 : 2
Bristol Rovers
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Salford33009:39
2Stockport County32017:75
3Wolves U2131027:103
4Wigan30032:51
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tranmere33006:48
2Blackpool32018:36
3Barrow31023:73
4Nottingham U2130033:61
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Doncaster33008:29
2Bradford City32018:56
3Grimsby31026:83
4Everton U2130035:120
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Lincoln City33008:09
2Barnsley31026:63
3Manchester United U2131024:83
4Notts County31022:63
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bolton330010:29
2Rotherham32017:56
3Manchester City U2131027:83
4Oldham30035:140
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Harrogate33005:19
2Huddersfield32019:46
3Newcastle Utd U2131025:112
4Mansfield30033:61
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Port Vale32019:47
2Fleetwood Town33009:57
3Accrington31025:64
4Leeds U2130033:110
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Crewe330012:29
2Chesterfield31024:94
3Burton31023:43
4Liverpool U2131022:62
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 9)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cardiff32014:26
2Exeter32015:46
3Newport31022:33
4Arsenal U2131026:83
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 10)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bristol Rovers33006:48
2Plymouth32018:36
3Cheltenham31022:52
4Tottenham U2130038:122
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 11)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Northampton33006:19
2Walsall32013:25
3Shrewsbury31025:63
4Chelsea U2130031:61
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 12)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Swindon32019:56
2West Ham U2132019:66
3Reading32016:46
4Milton Keynes Dons30031:100
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 13)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Stevenage330012:49
2AFC Wimbledon32016:76
3Bromley31025:72
4Crystal Palace U2130036:111
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 14)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Leyton Orient33006:29
2Peterborough32017:66
3Crawley Town31026:63
4Aston Villa U2130034:90
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 15)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Colchester33006:29
2Wycombe32017:36
3Gillingham31025:63
4Fulham U2130032:90
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 16)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Luton32018:56
2Cambridge Utd32016:46
3Barnet32015:75
4Brighton U2130032:51
Promotion - EFL Trophy 2025/2026 (Play Offs)