Sport Picks
Barry Town vs Connahs Q. - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Wales
Cymru Premier Jenner Park, Barry 
Match Events
10'
10'
Richards W.
19'
19'
Hodkin J.
30'
30'
Franklin H.
AI Match Summary
The Cymru Premier game between Barry Town and Connahs Q. finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Connahs Q..
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
15%
54%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Connahs Q.
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
54%
/ Medium Confidence
- Barry Town carry the better recent record into this one.
- 54% — that's where the model lands on Connahs Q. taking it.
- Regular Cymru Premier form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Barry Town Clean Sheet 10%
Connahs Q. Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Barry Town | Connahs Q. |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 19 | 15 |
| Draws | 2 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.75 | 1.8 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.28 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 26, 2026 Cymru Premier
Barry Town vs Connahs Q.
1:4
Mar 29, 2026 Cymru Premier
Connahs Q. vs Barry Town
1:1
Feb 21, 2026 Cymru Premier
Barry Town vs Connahs Q.
1:0
Jan 3, 2026 Cymru Premier
Connahs Q. vs Barry Town
3:1
Sep 27, 2025 Cymru Premier
Barry Town vs Connahs Q.
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Barry Town Compare
Top Goalscorer Lester J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Connahs Q. Compare
Top Goalscorer Hodkin J.
2 Goals Assists Leader Franklin H.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Barry Town 10 / 100
Connahs Q. 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Barry Town Connahs Q.
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Connahs Q. Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Barry Town scored in 84% of their last 32 games.
Connahs Q. has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Solid form: Barry Town remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Barry Town VS Connahs Q.
2.5 Goals Scored 2.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Barry Town
(Home) 03 Oct
Caernarfon
0 : 1 Barry Town
26 Sept
Barry Town
1 : 4 Connahs Q.
18 Sept
Colwyn Bay
5 : 2 Barry Town
15 Sept
Barry Town
2 : 2 Ammanford Town
11 Sept
Barry Town
4 : 1 Llandudno FC
Page 1 of 7
26 Sept
Barry Town
1 : 4 Connahs Q.
15 Sept
Barry Town
2 : 2 Ammanford Town
11 Sept
Barry Town
4 : 1 Llandudno FC
28 Aug
Barry Town
4 : 2 Airbus UK Broughton FC
15 Aug
Barry Town
1 : 0 Cardiff Metropolitan University
Page 1 of 3
Connahs Q.
(Away) 03 Oct
Connahs Q.
1 : 0 Penybont
26 Sept
Barry Town
1 : 4 Connahs Q.
18 Sept
Connahs Q.
1 : 0 Cardiff Metropolitan University
15 Sept
Connahs Q.
3 : 0 Airbus UK Broughton FC
12 Sept
Colwyn Bay
2 : 1 Connahs Q.
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Barry Town
1 : 4 Connahs Q.
12 Sept
Colwyn Bay
2 : 1 Connahs Q.
31 Aug
Flint Town
1 : 2 Connahs Q.
22 Aug
Ammanford Town
0 : 2 Connahs Q.
07 Aug
Holywell Town FC
1 : 3 Connahs Q.
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TNS | 12 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 38:5 | 34 |
| 2 | Connahs Q. | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 28:8 | 28 |
| 3 | Penybont | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 22:10 | 27 |
| 4 | Barry Town | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 27:20 | 25 |
| 5 | Caernarfon | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 35:14 | 23 |
| 6 | Colwyn Bay | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 21:15 | 22 |
| 7 | Cardiff Metropolitan University | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 23:13 | 21 |
| 8 | Airbus UK Broughton FC | 12 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 21:17 | 18 |
| 9 | Cambrian United | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 21:32 | 18 |
| 10 | Llandudno FC | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 21:19 | 16 |
| 11 | Briton Ferry | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 11:20 | 12 |
| 12 | Haverfordwest | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 7:17 | 10 |
| 13 | Flint Town | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 12:24 | 8 |
| 14 | Ammanford Town | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9:32 | 6 |
| 15 | Trefelin | 12 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 5:30 | 3 |
| 16 | Holywell Town FC | 12 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 13:38 | 2 |
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)
Relegation - Cymru Premier (Relegation Group)
