Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-5, with Ely Rangers advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
15%
28%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Barry Town
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Barry Town come out ahead of Ely Rangers on wins alone.
- Model gives Barry Town a 57% chance of winning this.
- Barry Town have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Ely Rangers, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Barry Town Clean Sheet 20%
Ely Rangers Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Barry Town | Ely Rangers |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 38 | 13 |
| Wins | 24 | 5 |
| Draws | 4 | 0 |
| Losses | 10 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 2.03 | 1.92 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.24 | 2.15 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.54 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Dec 8, 2012 FAW Welsh Cup
Barry Town vs Ely Rangers
3:1
Sep 12, 2009 FAW Welsh Cup
Barry Town vs Ely Rangers
1:5
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Barry Town 85 / 100
Ely Rangers 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Barry Town Ely Rangers
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Barry Town Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Barry Town's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 38 recent games.
Ely Rangers has conceded goals in 100% of their last 13 outings.
H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Barry Town stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Barry Town VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Barry Town
(Home) 11 Sept
Barry Town
4 : 1 Llandudno FC
05 Sept
TNS
1 : 0 Barry Town
31 Aug
Briton Ferry
1 : 4 Barry Town
28 Aug
Barry Town
4 : 2 Airbus UK Broughton FC
21 Aug
Holywell Town FC
1 : 3 Barry Town
Page 1 of 8
11 Sept
Barry Town
4 : 1 Llandudno FC
28 Aug
Barry Town
4 : 2 Airbus UK Broughton FC
15 Aug
Barry Town
1 : 0 Cardiff Metropolitan University
31 Jul
Barry Town
2 : 1 Cambrian United
25 Jul
Barry Town
0 : 1 Gloucester City
Page 1 of 4
Ely Rangers
(Away) 21 Sept
Llantwit Major
3 : 2 Ely Rangers
16 Sept
Trethomas Bluebirds
4 : 1 Ely Rangers
08 Dec
Barry Town
3 : 1 Ely Rangers
10 Nov
Ely Rangers
6 : 1 Aberbargoed Buds
06 Oct
Ely Rangers
3 : 1 Bryntirion Athletic
Page 1 of 3
21 Sept
Llantwit Major
3 : 2 Ely Rangers
16 Sept
Trethomas Bluebirds
4 : 1 Ely Rangers
08 Dec
Barry Town
3 : 1 Ely Rangers
11 Sept
Fleur de Lys
1 : 0 Ely Rangers
31 Oct
Aberaman
2 : 0 Ely Rangers
Page 1 of 2
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Bala 1
Llanrug 0
Caersws FC 4
Coedpoeth 1
Caerau Ely 1
Afan Lido 2
Connahs Q. 3
Airbus UK Broughton FC 2
Llangollen 1
Llandudno Junction 3
Cambrian United 0
TNS 2
Haverfordwest 1
Aberystwyth 2
Caldicot 0
Port Talbot 3
Prestatyn 3
Grange Harlequins 0
Porthmadog 3
Rhydymwyn 1
Rhyl 4
Bridgend Town 2
Pontardawe 2
Llandudno FC 0
Flint Town 0
Bangor City 1
Aberaman 2
Ely Rangers 0
Llanelli 3
Carmarthen Town 1
Llangeinor 1
Holyhead 6
1/8-finals
Bala 2
Caersws FC 0
Afan Lido 2
Connahs Q. 1
Llandudno Junction 0
TNS 6
Aberystwyth 0
Port Talbot 2
Prestatyn 1
Porthmadog 0
Rhyl 7
Pontardawe 0
Bangor City 3
Aberaman 1
Llanelli 4
Holyhead 0
Quarter-finals
Bala 2
Afan Lido 0
TNS 2
Port Talbot 3
Prestatyn 5
Rhyl 4
Bangor City 2
Llanelli 0
Semi-finals
Bala 0
Port Talbot 1
Prestatyn 0
Bangor City 2
Final
Port Talbot 2
Bangor City 3
