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Barry Town vs Trefelin - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Cymru Premier Jenner Park, Barry
Fri, Oct 30, 2026
VS
07:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Barry Town host Trefelin in the Cymru Premier. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: Barry Town at 1.75 goals for, 1.28 against; Trefelin at 1.97 for, 1.76 against. Head-to-head, Barry Town have won 3 to Trefelin's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Feb 10, 2023, ending 1:2. The numbers (2.19 xG vs 1.38) point toward Barry Town. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Barry Town
20%
Draws
10%
Trefelin
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Barry Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Barry Town carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Barry Town are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Cymru Premier form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Barry Town have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Barry Town Clean Sheet 17%
Trefelin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barry Town Trefelin
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 19 14
Draws 2 3
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.75 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 10, 2023 Cymru South
Trefelin vs Barry Town
1:2
Nov 5, 2022 Cymru South
Barry Town vs Trefelin
2:1
Sep 21, 2021 League Cup
Barry Town vs Trefelin
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barry Town 84 / 100
Trefelin 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barry Town Trefelin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Barry Town Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Barry Town found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (32 games).

Defensive concern: Trefelin conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Barry Town remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Barry Town VS Trefelin
2.5 Goals Scored 0.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 38%
88% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Barry Town

(Home)
03 Oct
Caernarfon
0 : 1
Barry Town
26 Sept
Barry Town
1 : 4
Connahs Q.
18 Sept
Colwyn Bay
5 : 2
Barry Town
15 Sept
Barry Town
2 : 2
Ammanford Town
11 Sept
Barry Town
4 : 1
Llandudno FC
Page 1 of 7

Trefelin

(Away)
03 Oct
Airbus UK Broughton FC
3 : 0
Trefelin
26 Sept
Trefelin
1 : 3
TNS
18 Sept
Briton Ferry
1 : 1
Trefelin
15 Sept
Trefelin
0 : 4
Cambrian United
11 Sept
Trefelin
0 : 1
Penybont
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 TNS 12 11 1 0 38:5 34
2 Connahs Q. 12 9 1 2 28:8 28
3 Penybont 12 8 3 1 22:10 27
4 Barry Town 12 8 1 3 27:20 25
5 Caernarfon 12 7 2 3 35:14 23
6 Colwyn Bay 12 7 1 4 21:15 22
7 Cardiff Metropolitan University 12 6 3 3 23:13 21
8 Airbus UK Broughton FC 12 6 0 6 21:17 18
9 Cambrian United 12 5 3 4 21:32 18
10 Llandudno FC 12 5 1 6 21:19 16
11 Briton Ferry 12 3 3 6 11:20 12
12 Haverfordwest 12 3 1 8 7:17 10
13 Flint Town 12 2 2 8 12:24 8
14 Ammanford Town 12 1 3 8 9:32 6
15 Trefelin 12 0 3 9 5:30 3
16 Holywell Town FC 12 0 2 10 13:38 2
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)
Relegation - Cymru Premier (Relegation Group)