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Barry Town W vs Aberystwyth W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

Adran Premier Women 2025/2026 Jenner Park, Barry
Our Tip

Match Events

46' Event
Turner J.
65' Event
Sedgwick T.
Own Goal
83' Event
Stone S.

AI Match Summary

The Adran Premier Women 2025/2026 game between Barry Town W and Aberystwyth W finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Barry Town W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Barry Town W
15%
Draws
85%
Aberystwyth W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Aberystwyth W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Barry Town W come out ahead of Aberystwyth W on wins alone.
  • Aberystwyth W are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Barry Town W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Barry Town W Clean Sheet 10%
Aberystwyth W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barry Town W Aberystwyth W
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 10 8
Draws 4 2
Losses 18 19
Goals Scored 1.38 1.28
Goals Conceded 2.75 2.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Adran Premier Women
Aberystwyth W vs Barry Town W
4:3
Feb 15, 2026 Adran Premier Women
Barry Town W vs Aberystwyth W
3:0
Nov 16, 2025 Adran Premier Women
Barry Town W vs Aberystwyth W
2:1
Sep 28, 2025 Adran Premier Women
Aberystwyth W vs Barry Town W
2:3
Mar 23, 2025 Adran Premier Women
Aberystwyth W vs Barry Town W
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Barry Town W Compare

Top Goalscorer Turner J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Stone S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Aberystwyth W Compare

Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barry Town W 22 / 100
Aberystwyth W 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barry Town W Aberystwyth W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aberystwyth W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aberystwyth W has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Aberystwyth W registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Barry Town W scored in 75% of their last 32 games.

Scoring Trends

Barry Town W VS Aberystwyth W
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
3.5 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Barry Town W

(Home)
04 Oct
Barry Town W
0 : 4
Swansea W
27 Sept
Barry Town W
1 : 4
Cardiff City W
20 Sept
Wrexham W
7 : 0
Barry Town W
13 Sept
TNS W
9 : 1
Barry Town W
06 Sept
Barry Town W
1 : 4
Briton Ferry W
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Aberystwyth W

(Away)
04 Oct
Briton Ferry W
7 : 1
Aberystwyth W
27 Sept
Cardiff Met. Ladies W
2 : 1
Aberystwyth W
20 Sept
Aberystwyth W
0 : 7
TNS W
13 Sept
Aberystwyth W
0 : 1
Swansea W
06 Sept
Wrexham W
4 : 0
Aberystwyth W
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