Sport Picks

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Barwell vs Belper Town

World World

Club Friendly 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Warren M.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Belper Town in this Club Friendly 2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Belper Town.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Barwell
15%
Draws
28%
Belper Town
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Barwell

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Belper Town lately — more wins on the board than Barwell.
  • Barwell are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Barwell Clean Sheet 14%
Belper Town Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barwell Belper Town
Matches Played 35 29
Wins 8 11
Draws 6 4
Losses 21 14
Goals Scored 1.26 1.62
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2025 Club Friendly
Barwell vs Belper Town
3:1
Jul 16, 2024 Club Friendly
Barwell vs Belper Town
0:1
Jan 24, 2015 NPL Premier Division
Barwell vs Belper Town
1:0
Oct 14, 2014 NPL Premier Division
Belper Town vs Barwell
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barwell 39 / 100
Belper Town 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barwell Belper Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Barwell Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Belper Town let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Barwell found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (35 games).

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Belper Town lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Barwell VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
2.25 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Barwell

(Home)
04 Jul
Quorn
1 : 2
Barwell
25 Apr
Barwell
3 : 1
Stortford
18 Apr
Barwell
0 : 3
Bury Town
11 Apr
Needham Market
2 : 1
Barwell
06 Apr
Barwell
0 : 2
Spalding United
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Belper Town

(Away)
20 Sept
Rugby
3 : 2
Belper Town
06 Sept
Belper Town
2 : 1
Newcastle Town
26 Jul
Belper Town
1 : 4
Matlock
11 Jul
Barwell
3 : 1
Belper Town
26 Oct
Chasetown
2 : 1
Belper Town
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