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Barwell vs Belper Town

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Hakeem Z.
(Penalty)
31' Event
Dowd C.
78' Event
Trialist

AI Match Summary

Barwell in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Barwell.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Barwell
15%
Draws
28%
Belper Town
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Barwell

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Belper Town have won more games recently than Barwell.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Barwell taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Barwell Clean Sheet 15%
Belper Town Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Barwell Belper Town
Matches Played 34 28
Wins 7 11
Draws 5 4
Losses 22 13
Goals Scored 1.18 1.57
Goals Conceded 2.06 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2025 Club Friendly
Barwell vs Belper Town
3:1
Jul 16, 2024 Club Friendly
Barwell vs Belper Town
0:1
Jan 24, 2015 NPL Premier Division
Barwell vs Belper Town
1:0
Oct 14, 2014 NPL Premier Division
Belper Town vs Barwell
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Barwell Compare

Top Goalscorer Dowd C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Belper Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Trialist
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Barwell 48 / 100
Belper Town 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Barwell Belper Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Barwell Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Belper Town has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Barwell's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Belper Town lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Barwell VS Belper Town
1 Goals Scored 0.5
2.63 Goals Conceded 2.5
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Barwell

(Home)
29 Aug
Loughborough Students
1 : 0
Barwell
04 Jul
Quorn
1 : 2
Barwell
25 Apr
Barwell
3 : 1
Stortford
18 Apr
Barwell
0 : 3
Bury Town
11 Apr
Needham Market
2 : 1
Barwell
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Belper Town

(Away)
05 Sept
Belper Town
0 : 3
Evesham
29 Aug
Wellingborough
2 : 1
Belper Town
20 Sept
Rugby
3 : 2
Belper Town
06 Sept
Belper Town
2 : 1
Newcastle Town
26 Jul
Belper Town
1 : 4
Matlock
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