Sport Picks
Match Events
4'
4'
Lewis A.
14'
14'
Panter E.
24'
24'
Bruce C.
AI Match Summary
The Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026 game between Barwell and Kettering finished 2-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kettering.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
20%
46%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kettering
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Kettering carry the better recent record into this one.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Kettering here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Barwell Clean Sheet 10%
Kettering Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Barwell | Kettering |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 6 | 15 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 19 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.5 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.50 | 1.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 28, 2026 Southern League Premier Central
Barwell vs Kettering
2:5
Aug 16, 2025 Southern League Premier Central
Kettering vs Barwell
2:1
Feb 8, 2025 Southern League Premier Central
Kettering vs Barwell
3:0
Dec 9, 2024 Southern League Premier Central
Barwell vs Kettering
2:1
Mar 30, 2024 Southern League Premier Central
Kettering vs Barwell
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Barwell Compare
Top Goalscorer Bruce C.
1 Goals Assists Leader Seaton J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Kettering Compare
Top Goalscorer Panter E.
2 Goals Assists Leader Lewis A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Barwell 30 / 100
Kettering 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Barwell Kettering
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick KET Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.
Attacking prowess: Barwell scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.
Kettering has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.
Solid form: Barwell remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Barwell VS Kettering
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
2.5 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Barwell
(Home) 04 Jul
Quorn
1 : 2 Barwell
25 Apr
Barwell
3 : 1 Stortford
18 Apr
Barwell
0 : 3 Bury Town
11 Apr
Needham Market
2 : 1 Barwell
06 Apr
Barwell
0 : 2 Spalding United
Page 1 of 6
25 Apr
Barwell
3 : 1 Stortford
18 Apr
Barwell
0 : 3 Bury Town
06 Apr
Barwell
0 : 2 Spalding United
28 Mar
Barwell
2 : 5 Kettering
21 Mar
Barwell
2 : 4 Sudbury
Page 1 of 3
Kettering
(Away) 01 Aug
Kettering
1 : 0 Bedford
29 Apr
Real Bedford
3 : 1 Kettering
25 Apr
Bury Town
0 : 1 Kettering
18 Apr
Kettering
0 : 0 Halesowen
14 Apr
Kettering
1 : 1 Redditch
Page 1 of 6
29 Apr
Real Bedford
3 : 1 Kettering
25 Apr
Bury Town
0 : 1 Kettering
06 Apr
Stratford
2 : 0 Kettering
28 Mar
Barwell
2 : 5 Kettering
14 Mar
Sudbury
1 : 4 Kettering
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Harborough | 42 | 28 | 11 | 3 | 81:33 | 95 |
| 2 | Spalding United | 42 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 103:54 | 85 |
| 3 | Real Bedford | 42 | 24 | 9 | 9 | 84:47 | 81 |
| 4 | Kettering | 42 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 74:52 | 72 |
| 5 | Halesowen | 42 | 20 | 10 | 12 | 85:60 | 70 |
| 6 | Needham Market | 42 | 20 | 10 | 12 | 64:53 | 70 |
| 7 | Redditch | 42 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 67:58 | 70 |
| 8 | Quorn | 42 | 19 | 8 | 15 | 78:71 | 65 |
| 9 | Worcester | 42 | 17 | 12 | 13 | 64:44 | 63 |
| 10 | Leiston | 42 | 16 | 15 | 11 | 65:58 | 63 |
| 11 | Stratford | 42 | 17 | 10 | 15 | 61:54 | 61 |
| 12 | Banbury | 42 | 17 | 9 | 16 | 51:56 | 60 |
| 13 | Bury Town | 42 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 61:53 | 58 |
| 14 | Alvechurch | 42 | 14 | 8 | 20 | 49:55 | 50 |
| 15 | Stourbridge | 42 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 58:68 | 50 |
| 16 | Stortford | 42 | 13 | 10 | 19 | 53:67 | 49 |
| 17 | Stamford | 42 | 13 | 8 | 21 | 41:64 | 47 |
| 18 | Bromsgrove | 42 | 12 | 8 | 22 | 52:73 | 44 |
| 19 | St Ives Town | 42 | 9 | 12 | 21 | 50:73 | 39 |
| 20 | Barwell | 42 | 9 | 8 | 25 | 52:85 | 35 |
| 21 | Royston Town | 42 | 5 | 10 | 27 | 35:82 | 25 |
| 22 | Sudbury | 42 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 47:115 | 25 |
Promotion - National League North (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
