Sport Picks
Barwell vs Spalding United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026 
Match Events
32'
32'
Fowkes B.
34'
34'
Ceesay Y.
AI Match Summary
Spalding United in this Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Spalding United.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
32%
15%
53%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Spalding United
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
53%
/ Medium Confidence
- Spalding United have won more games recently than Barwell.
- Spalding United are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 4 times recently and Spalding United have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Barwell Clean Sheet 18%
Spalding United Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Barwell | Spalding United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 5 | 17 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 20 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 1.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.17 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 6, 2026 Southern League Premier Central
Barwell vs Spalding United
0:2
Jan 3, 2026 Southern League Premier Central
Spalding United vs Barwell
3:0
Apr 26, 2025 Southern League Premier Central
Barwell vs Spalding United
1:7
Dec 7, 2024 Southern League Premier Central
Spalding United vs Barwell
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Barwell Compare
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Spalding United Compare
Top Goalscorer Fowkes B.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ceesay Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Barwell 10 / 100
Spalding United 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Barwell Spalding United
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Spalding United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.
Barwell's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Spalding United has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.
Recent resilience: Barwell stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Barwell VS Spalding United
1 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Barwell
(Home) 29 Aug
Loughborough Students
1 : 0 Barwell
04 Jul
Quorn
1 : 2 Barwell
25 Apr
Barwell
3 : 1 Stortford
18 Apr
Barwell
0 : 3 Bury Town
11 Apr
Needham Market
2 : 1 Barwell
Page 1 of 6
25 Apr
Barwell
3 : 1 Stortford
18 Apr
Barwell
0 : 3 Bury Town
06 Apr
Barwell
0 : 2 Spalding United
28 Mar
Barwell
2 : 5 Kettering
21 Mar
Barwell
2 : 4 Sudbury
Page 1 of 3
Spalding United
(Away) 06 Oct
Spalding United
4 : 0 Bury Town
03 Oct
Bury Town
1 : 1 Spalding United
26 Sept
Chorley
2 : 1 Spalding United
19 Sept
Spalding United
2 : 0 Hanley Town
12 Sept
Spalding United
2 : 1 Bedford
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Bury Town
1 : 1 Spalding United
26 Sept
Chorley
2 : 1 Spalding United
08 Sept
Spennymoor
1 : 3 Spalding United
31 Aug
South Shields
1 : 1 Spalding United
22 Aug
Chester
1 : 0 Spalding United
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Harborough | 42 | 28 | 11 | 3 | 81:33 | 95 |
| 2 | Spalding United | 42 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 103:54 | 85 |
| 3 | Real Bedford | 42 | 24 | 9 | 9 | 84:47 | 81 |
| 4 | Kettering | 42 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 74:52 | 72 |
| 5 | Halesowen | 42 | 20 | 10 | 12 | 85:60 | 70 |
| 6 | Needham Market | 42 | 20 | 10 | 12 | 64:53 | 70 |
| 7 | Redditch | 42 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 67:58 | 70 |
| 8 | Quorn | 42 | 19 | 8 | 15 | 78:71 | 65 |
| 9 | Worcester | 42 | 17 | 12 | 13 | 64:44 | 63 |
| 10 | Leiston | 42 | 16 | 15 | 11 | 65:58 | 63 |
| 11 | Stratford | 42 | 17 | 10 | 15 | 61:54 | 61 |
| 12 | Banbury | 42 | 17 | 9 | 16 | 51:56 | 60 |
| 13 | Bury Town | 42 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 61:53 | 58 |
| 14 | Alvechurch | 42 | 14 | 8 | 20 | 49:55 | 50 |
| 15 | Stourbridge | 42 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 58:68 | 50 |
| 16 | Stortford | 42 | 13 | 10 | 19 | 53:67 | 49 |
| 17 | Stamford | 42 | 13 | 8 | 21 | 41:64 | 47 |
| 18 | Bromsgrove | 42 | 12 | 8 | 22 | 52:73 | 44 |
| 19 | St Ives Town | 42 | 9 | 12 | 21 | 50:73 | 39 |
| 20 | Barwell | 42 | 9 | 8 | 25 | 52:85 | 35 |
| 21 | Royston Town | 42 | 5 | 10 | 27 | 35:82 | 25 |
| 22 | Sudbury | 42 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 47:115 | 25 |
Promotion - National League North (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier Central 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
