Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Basa vs Locomotive Tbilisi

Georgia Georgia

Georgian Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Jinikashvili G.
20' Event
Tsartsidze N.
90' Event
Cliff-Njah W.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Basa
25%
Draws
46%
Locomotive Tbilisi
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Locomotive Tbilisi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Locomotive Tbilisi have won more games recently than Basa.
  • Win probability leans Locomotive Tbilisi's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Locomotive Tbilisi arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Basa, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Basa Clean Sheet 19%
Locomotive Tbilisi Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Basa Locomotive Tbilisi
Matches Played 3 30
Wins 1 10
Draws 0 7
Losses 2 13
Goals Scored 1.33 1.47
Goals Conceded 2.33 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 26, 2026 Georgian Cup
Basa vs Locomotive Tbilisi
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Basa Compare

Top Goalscorer Jinikashvili G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cliff-Njah W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Locomotive Tbilisi Compare

Top Goalscorer Tsartsidze N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Basa 16 / 100
Locomotive Tbilisi 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Basa Locomotive Tbilisi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Locomotive Tbilisi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Basa scored in 67% of their last 3 outings.

Locomotive Tbilisi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Basa remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Basa VS Locomotive Tbilisi
1 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Basa

(Home)
25 Jul
Basa
0 : 2
FC Gareji Sagarejo
26 Jun
Basa
2 : 1
Locomotive Tbilisi
27 May
Basa
2 : 4
Guria

Locomotive Tbilisi

(Away)
17 Sept
Locomotive Tbilisi
2 : 0
Orbi
09 Sept
WIT Georgia
2 : 1
Locomotive Tbilisi
03 Sept
Locomotive Tbilisi
3 : 3
FC Tbilisi 2025
27 Aug
Dinamo Tbilisi 2
1 : 1
Locomotive Tbilisi
20 Aug
Locomotive Tbilisi
4 : 0
Gonio
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Basa 2
Locomotive Tbilisi 1
TBD -
FC Gareji Sagarejo -
Samtskhe 4
Didube 1
TBD -
Gagra -
Guria 6
Merani Tbilisi 1
TBD -
Dinamo Tbilisi -
Kolkheti 1913 -
TBD -
Zooveti Tbilisi 0
Dusheti 2
Samtredia -
TBD -
West Georgia 0
Shturmi 2
Torpedo Kutaisi 2 0
Margveti 2006 4
TBD -
Iberia 1999 -
Aragvelebi 0
FC Tbilisi 2025 4
TBD -
FC Rustavi -
Skuri Tsalenjikha 3
Dinamo Tbilisi 2 4
TBD -
Spaeri -
Iveria Khashuri 5
Betlemi Keda 4
TBD -
Torpedo Kutaisi -
Merani Martvili -
TBD -
Gagra 2 1
Odishi 1919 2
FC Rustavi 2 2
Orbi 3
TBD -
Dinamo Batumi -
Merani Martvili 2 1
Iberia 1999 2 2
TBD -
Telavi -
Mertskhali 1
Gori 3
TBD -
Bolnisi -
FC Gardabani 1
FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi 5
TBD -
Dila Gori -
Dmanisi 0
WIT Georgia 3
TBD -
Samgurali -
Dinamo Sokhumi 0
Gonio 3
TBD -
Meshakhte Tkibuli -
1/16-finals
Basa 0
FC Gareji Sagarejo 2
Samtskhe 1
Gagra 2
Guria 1
Dinamo Tbilisi 0
Kolkheti 1913 0
Dusheti 1
Samtredia 2
Shturmi 1
Margveti 2006 1
Iberia 1999 3
FC Tbilisi 2025 0
FC Rustavi 1
Dinamo Tbilisi 2 1
Spaeri 5
Iveria Khashuri 1
Torpedo Kutaisi 3
Merani Martvili 1
Odishi 1919 2
Orbi 1
Dinamo Batumi 4
Iberia 1999 2 0
Telavi 1
Gori 1
Bolnisi 0
FC Iberia 2010 Tbilisi 0
Dila Gori 1
WIT Georgia 2
Samgurali 3
Gonio 1
Meshakhte Tkibuli 2
1/8-finals
FC Gareji Sagarejo 1
Gagra 4
Guria 1
Dusheti 2
Samtredia 2
Iberia 1999 0
FC Rustavi 3
Spaeri 1
Torpedo Kutaisi 4
Odishi 1919 1
Dinamo Batumi 1
Telavi 0
Gori 0
Dila Gori 2
Samgurali 1
Meshakhte Tkibuli 0
Quarter-finals
Gagra 1
Dusheti 0
Samtredia 1
FC Rustavi 2
Torpedo Kutaisi 2
Dinamo Batumi 4
Dila Gori 2
Samgurali 1
Semi-finals
Gagra -
FC Rustavi -
Dinamo Batumi -
Dila Gori -
Final
TBD -
TBD -