Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Basconia vs Amorebieta

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

56' Event
Arratibel B.
61'
Zarandona T.
61'
Zarandona T.

AI Match Summary

The Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 game between Basconia and Amorebieta finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Basconia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Basconia
6%
Draws
4%
Amorebieta
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Basconia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Amorebieta carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Basconia taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Basconia Clean Sheet 68%
Amorebieta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Basconia Amorebieta
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 12
Draws 11 9
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 2.13 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Basconia vs Amorebieta
2:1
Oct 5, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 2
Amorebieta vs Basconia
2:1
Mar 5, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Amorebieta vs Basconia
1:2
Oct 23, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Basconia vs Amorebieta
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Basconia Compare

Top Goalscorer Urzaiz U.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Amorebieta Compare

Top Goalscorer Arratibel B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Basconia 95 / 100
Amorebieta 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Basconia Amorebieta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Solid form: Basconia remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Basconia scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Amorebieta's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Basconia VS Amorebieta
2.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Basconia

(Home)
03 May
Basconia
5 : 1
SD Ejea
26 Apr
Basconia
0 : 0
Gernika Club
18 Apr
Sestao
2 : 2
Basconia
12 Apr
Basconia
4 : 0
Mutilvera
05 Apr
SD Logrones
0 : 3
Basconia
Page 1 of 6

Amorebieta

(Away)
03 May
Mutilvera
0 : 2
Amorebieta
26 Apr
Amorebieta
1 : 1
Sestao
18 Apr
Real Union
3 : 3
Amorebieta
11 Apr
Amorebieta
1 : 2
Gernika Club
05 Apr
Alaves B
1 : 2
Amorebieta
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Real Union34209564:3569
2Alaves B341711641:2062
3UD Logrones34187973:3361
4Utebo FC341771056:4258
5Tudelano34169956:4057
6Amorebieta3413111038:3250
7Sestao341214840:3350
8Ebro341116742:3649
9Eibar B341471341:4249
10Basconia341114955:4347
11Gernika Club341291334:4045
12Naxara341181539:4841
13SD Logrones348131322:4037
14Beasain348121438:4636
15SD Ejea348111535:5535
16Mutilvera34862031:6530
17Zaragoza B34772032:5928
18Alfaro34672132:6025
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)