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Basconia vs Anaitasuna FT - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Alboniga-Menor G.
53' Event
Arabaolaza A.
58' Event
Hierro A.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2023/2024 game between Basconia and Anaitasuna FT finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Basconia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Basconia
20%
Draws
42%
Anaitasuna FT
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Anaitasuna FT

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Basconia come out ahead of Anaitasuna FT on wins alone.
  • 42% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Basconia Clean Sheet 10%
Anaitasuna FT Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Basconia Anaitasuna FT
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 9
Draws 12 5
Losses 5 16
Goals Scored 2 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.35 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 3.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Basconia vs Anaitasuna FT
3:2
Jan 20, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Anaitasuna FT vs Basconia
2:2
Apr 5, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Basconia vs Anaitasuna FT
2:0
Dec 10, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Anaitasuna FT vs Basconia
2:1
Jan 19, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Basconia vs Anaitasuna FT
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Basconia Compare

Top Goalscorer Alboniga-Menor G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hierro A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Anaitasuna FT Compare

Top Goalscorer Arabaolaza A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Izagirre I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.73
Avg xA / game 1.67

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Basconia 34 / 100
Anaitasuna FT 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Basconia Anaitasuna FT

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Anaitasuna FT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Basconia's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Anaitasuna FT's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Basconia has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Basconia VS Anaitasuna FT
2.63 Goals Scored 5
1 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Basconia

(Home)
03 Oct
Basconia
1 : 1
Llanera
27 Sept
Marino De Luanco
1 : 2
Basconia
19 Sept
Basconia
2 : 2
Arosa SC
13 Sept
Basconia
3 : 2
Atletico Astorga
06 Sept
Ourense CF
2 : 1
Basconia
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Anaitasuna FT

(Away)
03 Oct
CD Tedeon
2 : 5
Anaitasuna FT
26 Sept
Anaitasuna FT
5 : 0
CD Tedeon
11 May
Basconia
3 : 2
Anaitasuna FT
05 May
Anaitasuna FT
2 : 1
Anorga
01 May
Alaves C
3 : 1
Anaitasuna FT
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Vitoria 34 25 7 2 65:17 82
2 Basconia 34 18 10 6 54:32 64
3 Beasain 34 19 6 9 55:36 63
4 SD Deusto 34 17 10 7 45:29 61
5 Portugalete 34 17 9 8 54:32 60
6 Lagun Onak 34 16 9 9 43:33 57
7 SCD Durango 34 14 8 12 47:47 50
8 San Ignacio 34 12 11 11 49:44 47
9 Leioa 34 13 6 15 46:51 45
10 Urduliz FT 34 11 9 14 38:47 42
11 Derio 34 11 9 14 35:35 42
12 Alaves C 34 10 10 14 34:42 40
13 Touring KE 34 9 12 13 39:49 39
14 Padura 34 9 11 14 33:47 38
15 Pasaia 34 9 7 18 23:42 34
16 Anaitasuna FT 34 8 8 18 35:51 32
17 Aurrera Ondarroa 34 5 9 20 26:54 24
18 Anorga 34 3 9 22 31:64 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 4 2023/2024 (Play Offs)