Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Tercera Division - Group 13 2010/2011 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
35%
42%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Pinatar
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Pinatar have won more games recently than Base Abaran.
- Pinatar are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Tercera Division - Group 13 2010/2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Base Abaran Clean Sheet 19%
Pinatar Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Base Abaran | Pinatar |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 35 | 41 |
| Wins | 7 | 21 |
| Draws | 7 | 10 |
| Losses | 21 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.23 | 1.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.09 | 1.24 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.10 | 1.30 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 29, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Pinatar vs Base Abaran
1:2
Dec 8, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Base Abaran vs Pinatar
2:1
Feb 6, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Base Abaran vs Pinatar
0:0
Sep 22, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Pinatar vs Base Abaran
1:0
Apr 11, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Pinatar vs Base Abaran
6:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Base Abaran 10 / 100
Pinatar 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Base Abaran Pinatar
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Pinatar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Base Abaran found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (35 games).
Pinatar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 41 matches.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Base Abaran went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Pinatar
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Base Abaran
(Home) 13 May
Aguilas FC
7 : 3 Base Abaran
06 May
Base Abaran
3 : 3 Ciudad Cieza
29 Apr
Pinatar
1 : 2 Base Abaran
22 Apr
Base Abaran
2 : 2 Club Edeco Fortuna
15 Apr
Plus Ultra
3 : 2 Base Abaran
Page 1 of 7
06 May
Base Abaran
3 : 3 Ciudad Cieza
22 Apr
Base Abaran
2 : 2 Club Edeco Fortuna
05 Apr
Base Abaran
3 : 4 Futbol Club Jumilla
25 Mar
Base Abaran
3 : 4 Yeclano
17 Mar
Base Abaran
3 : 1 Santomera
Page 1 of 4
Pinatar
(Away) 26 Sept
Pinatar
8 : 0 Atletico Melilla
13 May
Pinatar
1 : 1 FC Cartagena SAD B
06 May
Yeclano
1 : 1 Pinatar
29 Apr
Pinatar
1 : 1 EDMF Churra
22 Apr
E.G. El Palmar
2 : 3 Pinatar
Page 1 of 9
06 May
Yeclano
1 : 1 Pinatar
22 Apr
E.G. El Palmar
2 : 3 Pinatar
08 Apr
Huercal-Overa CF
2 : 1 Pinatar
25 Mar
Estudiantes de Murcia CF
2 : 3 Pinatar
18 Mar
UCAM Murcia B
2 : 1 Pinatar
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UCAM Murcia | 38 | 27 | 5 | 6 | 81:22 | 86 |
| 2 | Real Murcia B | 38 | 25 | 9 | 4 | 69:18 | 84 |
| 3 | Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC | 38 | 25 | 8 | 5 | 85:28 | 83 |
| 4 | Cartagena La Union | 38 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 72:36 | 81 |
| 5 | Ciudad Cieza | 38 | 25 | 5 | 8 | 74:28 | 80 |
| 6 | Bala Azul | 38 | 18 | 12 | 8 | 59:45 | 66 |
| 7 | Lorca FC | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 58:51 | 60 |
| 8 | CA Pulpileno | 38 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 53:42 | 57 |
| 9 | Molina | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 60:45 | 53 |
| 10 | Pinatar | 38 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 50:51 | 52 |
| 11 | Club Edeco Fortuna | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 39:57 | 52 |
| 12 | Plus Ultra | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 44:57 | 48 |
| 13 | Santomera | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 43:57 | 45 |
| 14 | Cartagena FC UCAM | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 43:61 | 43 |
| 15 | Moratalla | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 44:69 | 41 |
| 16 | Calasparra FC | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 45:64 | 41 |
| 17 | Base Abaran | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 28:47 | 36 |
| 18 | FC Puente Tocinos | 38 | 9 | 6 | 23 | 42:85 | 33 |
| 19 | Beniel | 38 | 4 | 3 | 31 | 32:93 | 15 |
| 20 | Lorca Deportiva | 38 | 2 | 2 | 34 | 7:72 | 8 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
