Sport Picks
Base Abaran vs Real Murcia B
Spain
Tercera Division - Group 13 2010/2011 
AI Match Summary
Real Murcia B in this Tercera Division - Group 13 2010/2011 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Real Murcia B.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
50%
20%
30%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Base Abaran
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Real Murcia B have won more games recently than Base Abaran.
- Win probability leans Base Abaran's way, sitting at 42%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Real Murcia B have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Base Abaran Clean Sheet 20%
Real Murcia B Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Base Abaran | Real Murcia B |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 5 | 11 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 19 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.2 | 1.3 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.2 | 1.4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.48 | 1.05 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 5, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Real Murcia B vs Base Abaran
2:0
Sep 11, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Base Abaran vs Real Murcia B
1:0
May 15, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Real Murcia B vs Base Abaran
1:0
Jan 2, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Base Abaran vs Real Murcia B
0:3
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Base Abaran 42 / 100
Real Murcia B 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Base Abaran Real Murcia B
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Base Abaran's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Real Murcia B has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.
Historical meetings average 1.75 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Base Abaran stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Real Murcia B
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Base Abaran
(Home) 13 May
Aguilas FC
7 : 3 Base Abaran
06 May
Base Abaran
3 : 3 Ciudad Cieza
29 Apr
Pinatar
1 : 2 Base Abaran
22 Apr
Base Abaran
2 : 2 Club Edeco Fortuna
15 Apr
Plus Ultra
3 : 2 Base Abaran
Page 1 of 6
06 May
Base Abaran
3 : 3 Ciudad Cieza
22 Apr
Base Abaran
2 : 2 Club Edeco Fortuna
05 Apr
Base Abaran
3 : 4 Futbol Club Jumilla
25 Mar
Base Abaran
3 : 4 Yeclano
17 Mar
Base Abaran
3 : 1 Santomera
Page 1 of 4
Real Murcia B
(Away) 27 Sept
Pena Deportiva
0 : 2 Real Murcia B
20 Sept
Real Murcia B
0 : 1 Mallorca B
13 Sept
La Nucia
5 : 1 Real Murcia B
05 Sept
Real Murcia B
1 : 2 Orihuela
22 Aug
Torrellano
1 : 0 Real Murcia B
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Pena Deportiva
0 : 2 Real Murcia B
13 Sept
La Nucia
5 : 1 Real Murcia B
22 Aug
Torrellano
1 : 0 Real Murcia B
20 Jun
Pamplona
1 : 1 Real Murcia B
31 May
Club Olimpico de Totana
1 : 1 Real Murcia B
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UCAM Murcia | 38 | 27 | 5 | 6 | 81:22 | 86 |
| 2 | Real Murcia B | 38 | 25 | 9 | 4 | 69:18 | 84 |
| 3 | Racing Cartagena Mar Menor FC | 38 | 25 | 8 | 5 | 85:28 | 83 |
| 4 | Cartagena La Union | 38 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 72:36 | 81 |
| 5 | Ciudad Cieza | 38 | 25 | 5 | 8 | 74:28 | 80 |
| 6 | Bala Azul | 38 | 18 | 12 | 8 | 59:45 | 66 |
| 7 | Lorca FC | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 58:51 | 60 |
| 8 | CA Pulpileno | 38 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 53:42 | 57 |
| 9 | Molina | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 60:45 | 53 |
| 10 | Pinatar | 38 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 50:51 | 52 |
| 11 | Club Edeco Fortuna | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 39:57 | 52 |
| 12 | Plus Ultra | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 44:57 | 48 |
| 13 | Santomera | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 43:57 | 45 |
| 14 | Cartagena FC UCAM | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 43:61 | 43 |
| 15 | Moratalla | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 44:69 | 41 |
| 16 | Calasparra FC | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 45:64 | 41 |
| 17 | Base Abaran | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 28:47 | 36 |
| 18 | FC Puente Tocinos | 38 | 9 | 6 | 23 | 42:85 | 33 |
| 19 | Beniel | 38 | 4 | 3 | 31 | 32:93 | 15 |
| 20 | Lorca Deportiva | 38 | 2 | 2 | 34 | 7:72 | 8 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
