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Basel II vs Luzern II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Switzerland Switzerland

Promotion League
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Muff P.
29' Event
Ismaili E.
40'
Mahic E.

AI Match Summary

Basel II in this Promotion League matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Basel II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Basel II
15%
Draws
21%
Luzern II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Basel II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Luzern II haven't matched Basel II's recent run of results.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Basel II taking it.
  • Regular Promotion League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Basel II Clean Sheet 15%
Luzern II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Basel II Luzern II
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 17 8
Draws 1 5
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.77 2
Goals Conceded 1.53 2.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Promotion League
Basel II vs Luzern II
3:2
Feb 18, 2026 Promotion League
Basel II vs Luzern II
3:2
Aug 6, 2025 Promotion League
Luzern II vs Basel II
1:1
Feb 15, 2025 Promotion League
Luzern II vs Basel II
2:2
Sep 25, 2024 Promotion League
Basel II vs Luzern II
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Basel II Compare

Top Goalscorer Hansal Y.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ismaili E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Luzern II Compare

Top Goalscorer Muff P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rujkovci D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Basel II 66 / 100
Luzern II 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Basel II Luzern II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Basel II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Basel II scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Luzern II let in goals in 93% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Basel II stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Basel II VS Luzern II
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Basel II

(Home)
03 Oct
Basel II
3 : 2
Luzern II
26 Sept
Young Boys II
0 : 2
Basel II
19 Sept
Basel II
1 : 2
Bulle
13 Sept
Lugano II
3 : 0
Basel II
05 Sept
Basel II
3 : 0
Bruhl SG
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Luzern II

(Away)
03 Oct
Basel II
3 : 2
Luzern II
26 Sept
Luzern II
2 : 3
Amical Saint-Prex
20 Sept
Bavois
0 : 1
Luzern II
12 Sept
Luzern II
0 : 1
Biel
05 Sept
Breitenrain
1 : 0
Luzern II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Biel 10 8 1 1 23:10 25
2 Schaffhausen 10 7 1 2 21:13 22
3 Bulle 10 6 2 2 22:14 20
4 Paradiso 10 6 1 3 20:9 19
5 Cham 10 6 1 3 16:13 19
6 Grand-Saconnex 10 6 0 4 19:14 18
7 Young Fellows Juventus 10 5 1 4 14:14 16
8 Basel II 10 5 0 5 19:19 15
9 Zurich II 10 4 2 4 18:18 14
10 Breitenrain 10 4 2 4 13:15 14
11 Amical Saint-Prex 10 4 1 5 14:22 13
12 FC Kreuzlingen 10 3 3 4 13:13 12
13 Bruhl SG 10 3 2 5 12:15 11
14 Young Boys II 10 3 2 5 20:27 11
15 Lugano II 10 3 0 7 15:22 9
16 Bavois 10 2 2 6 10:12 8
17 Luzern II 10 2 1 7 15:19 7
18 Bellinzona 10 1 2 7 7:22 5
Promotion - Challenge League 2027/2028 (Main)