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Basel U19 vs Bayern U19

Europe Europe

UEFA Youth League 2023/2024 Leichtathletik Stadion St. jakob, Basel
Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Aznou A.
31' Event
Zvonarek L.
Assist: Fernandez J.
37'
Fernandez J.

AI Match Summary

Bayern U19 in this UEFA Youth League 2023/2024 tie, finishing 0-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Basel U19
15%
Draws
61%
Bayern U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bayern U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Basel U19 haven't matched Bayern U19's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Bayern U19 a 61% chance of winning this.
  • Bayern U19 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Bayern U19, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Basel U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Bayern U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Basel U19 Bayern U19
Matches Played 29 35
Wins 13 19
Draws 5 4
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.69 2.49
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 2.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2024 UEFA Youth League
Basel U19 vs Bayern U19
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Basel U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

Bayern U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Zvonarek L.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.86
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Basel U19 14 / 100
Bayern U19 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Basel U19 Bayern U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bayern U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Bayern U19 conceded in 80% of 35 recent games.

Basel U19 scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Basel U19 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Bayern U19
0 Goals Scored 3
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Basel U19

(Home)
05 Nov
Betis U19
2 : 0
Basel U19
22 Oct
Basel U19
3 : 2
Betis U19
11 Dec
Rapid Vienna U19
3 : 0
Basel U19
26 Nov
Basel U19
1 : 2
Rapid Vienna U19
06 Nov
Sabah Baku U19
1 : 2
Basel U19
Page 1 of 6

Bayern U19

(Away)
19 Sept
Duisburg U19
0 : 4
Bayern U19
13 Sept
Munich 1860 U19
1 : 3
Bayern U19
10 Sept
Bayern U19
6 : 1
Bodo/Glimt U19
29 Aug
Bayern U19
4 : 2
Ingolstadt U19
23 Aug
Bayern U19
3 : 1
Ingolstadt U19
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Basel U19 0
Bayern U19 2
Feyenoord U19 -
TBD -
Olympiacos Piraeus U19 1
Inter U19 0
Lens U19 -
TBD -
Salzburg U19 -
TBD -
Nantes U19 4
Sevilla U19 3
Zilina U19 2
Dortmund U19 1
FC Copenhagen U19 -
TBD -
Mainz U19 3
Barcelona U19 2
Manchester City U19 -
TBD -
AZ Alkmaar U19 1
Atl. Madrid U19 0
FC Porto U19 -
TBD -
AC Milan U19 -
TBD -
Partizan U19 0
Braga U19 2
Real Madrid U19 -
TBD -
Midtjylland U19 1
RB Leipzig U19 2
1/8-finals
Bayern U19 3
Feyenoord U19 2
Olympiacos Piraeus U19 3
Lens U19 2
Salzburg U19 0
Nantes U19 1
Zilina U19 1
FC Copenhagen U19 2
Mainz U19 2
Manchester City U19 1
AZ Alkmaar U19 1
FC Porto U19 2
AC Milan U19 3
Braga U19 2
Real Madrid U19 2
RB Leipzig U19 0
Quarter-finals
Bayern U19 1
Olympiacos Piraeus U19 3
Nantes U19 4
FC Copenhagen U19 3
Mainz U19 1
FC Porto U19 4
AC Milan U19 2
Real Madrid U19 1
Semi-finals
Olympiacos Piraeus U19 1
Nantes U19 0
FC Porto U19 2
AC Milan U19 3
Final
Olympiacos Piraeus U19 3
AC Milan U19 0