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Basel U19 vs Ludogorets U19 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

UEFA Youth League 2016/2017 Leichtathletik Stadion St. jakob, Basel
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Conus B. In: Micelli L.
Out: Conus B.
54'
Klimentov I.
69'
Sub
Tsvyatkov T. In: Petrov T.
Out: Tsvyatkov T.

AI Match Summary

Basel U19 in this UEFA Youth League 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Basel U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Basel U19
15%
Draws
46%
Ludogorets U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ludogorets U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Basel U19 have won more games recently than Ludogorets U19.
  • Model gives Basel U19 a 39% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this UEFA Youth League 2016/2017 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Basel U19 here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Basel U19 Clean Sheet 68%
Ludogorets U19 Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Basel U19 Ludogorets U19
Matches Played 31 20
Wins 15 2
Draws 5 3
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.94 0.45
Goals Conceded 1.42 2.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.24 0.53
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 23, 2016 UEFA Youth League
Ludogorets U19 vs Basel U19
0:4
Sep 13, 2016 UEFA Youth League
Basel U19 vs Ludogorets U19
1:0
Nov 4, 2014 UEFA Youth League
Basel U19 vs Ludogorets U19
6:0
Oct 22, 2014 UEFA Youth League
Ludogorets U19 vs Basel U19
0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Basel U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Pacheco P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.62

Ludogorets U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.29

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Basel U19 68 / 100
Ludogorets U19 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Basel U19 Ludogorets U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Basel U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ludogorets U19's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 20 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Basel U19's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Basel U19 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Basel U19 VS Ludogorets U19
1.63 Goals Scored 0.43
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.86
63% Over 1.5 43%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Basel U19

(Home)
05 Nov
Betis U19
2 : 0
Basel U19
22 Oct
Basel U19
3 : 2
Betis U19
11 Dec
Rapid Vienna U19
3 : 0
Basel U19
26 Nov
Basel U19
1 : 2
Rapid Vienna U19
06 Nov
Sabah Baku U19
1 : 2
Basel U19
Page 1 of 7

Ludogorets U19

(Away)
05 Nov
Ludogorets U19
0 : 2
Din. Minsk U19
01 Nov
Din. Minsk U19
0 : 1
Ludogorets U19
08 Oct
Ludogorets U19
0 : 2
Din. Minsk U19
04 Oct
Din. Minsk U19
0 : 1
Ludogorets U19
23 Oct
Ludogorets U19
1 : 1
Slovan Bratislava U19
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSG U19 6 4 2 0 21:7 14
2 Basel U19 6 3 1 2 11:9 10
3 Arsenal U19 6 1 4 1 8:6 7
4 Ludogorets U19 6 0 1 5 3:21 1
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2016/2017 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dynamo Kyiv U19 6 5 1 0 16:7 16
2 Benfica U19 6 3 1 2 10:6 10
3 Napoli U19 6 1 1 4 6:13 4
4 Besiktas U19 6 0 3 3 6:12 3
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2016/2017 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barcelona U19 6 5 0 1 13:5 15
2 Manchester City U19 6 4 0 2 13:7 12
3 B. Monchengladbach U19 6 2 1 3 10:12 7
4 Celtic U19 6 0 1 5 6:18 1
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2016/2017 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSV U19 6 4 1 1 16:2 13
2 Atl. Madrid U19 6 3 2 1 8:5 11
3 Bayern U19 6 3 1 2 9:8 10
4 FK Rostov U19 6 0 0 6 3:21 0
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2016/2017 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CSKA Moscow U19 6 4 1 1 15:6 13
2 Monaco U19 6 4 0 2 10:14 12
3 Leverkusen U19 6 2 0 4 9:10 6
4 Tottenham U19 6 1 1 4 8:12 4
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2016/2017 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Madrid U19 6 4 1 1 15:10 13
2 Dortmund U19 6 2 2 2 11:11 8
3 Sporting CP U19 6 1 3 2 6:9 6
4 Legia U19 6 1 2 3 10:12 5
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2016/2017 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Porto U19 6 4 0 2 12:8 12
2 FC Copenhagen U19 6 3 1 2 12:10 10
3 Club Brugge U19 6 3 1 2 8:9 10
4 Leicester U19 6 1 0 5 9:14 3
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2016/2017 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sevilla U19 6 3 1 2 9:8 10
2 Juventus U19 6 3 0 3 8:5 9
3 Lyon U19 6 3 0 3 6:7 9
4 Din. Zagreb U19 6 2 1 3 7:10 7
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2016/2017 (Play Offs)