Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Basel vs Lausanne

Switzerland Switzerland

Super League St. Jakob-Park, Basel
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Olaigbe K. In: Sow A.
Out: Olaigbe K.
46'
Sub
Thorell L. In: Leroy L.
Out: Thorell L.
56'
Poaty M.

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Basel and Lausanne finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lausanne.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Basel
20%
Draws
10%
Lausanne
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Basel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Lausanne have managed 1.59 goals a game lately — Basel are scoring more at 1.75.
  • Basel are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Basel Clean Sheet 10%
Lausanne Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Basel Lausanne
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 11
Draws 4 3
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.75 1.59
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Super League
Basel vs Lausanne
0:1
Mar 1, 2026 Super League
Lausanne vs Basel
1:2
Dec 14, 2025 Super League
Basel vs Lausanne
0:0
Oct 26, 2025 Super League
Lausanne vs Basel
5:1
May 14, 2025 Super League
Lausanne vs Basel
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Basel Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Lausanne Compare

Top Goalscorer Mollet F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Basel 65 / 100
Lausanne 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Basel Lausanne

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Basel Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Basel scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Lausanne has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Basel went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Basel VS Lausanne
2.38 Goals Scored 1.5
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Basel

(Home)
13 Sept
Luzern
2 : 4
Basel
06 Sept
Basel
1 : 3
Lugano
03 Sept
Basel
1 : 2
Sion
29 Aug
Young Boys
3 : 3
Basel
22 Aug
Zurich
1 : 2
Basel
Page 1 of 6

Lausanne

(Away)
13 Sept
Lausanne
0 : 1
Servette
05 Sept
Vaduz
3 : 1
Lausanne
02 Sept
Thun
0 : 0
Lausanne
29 Aug
Lausanne
2 : 3
Zurich
22 Aug
Luzern
1 : 0
Lausanne
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lugano 8 7 1 0 23:7 22
2 Sion 8 6 0 2 22:13 18
3 Young Boys 8 4 4 0 28:16 16
4 Basel 8 4 1 3 16:14 13
5 Servette 8 3 1 4 9:10 10
6 St. Gallen 8 3 1 4 13:18 10
7 Zurich 8 3 1 4 13:19 10
8 Luzern 8 2 3 3 12:17 9
9 Grasshoppers 8 2 2 4 12:19 8
10 Thun 8 2 1 5 13:22 7
11 Vaduz 8 2 0 6 17:19 6
12 Lausanne 8 1 3 4 7:11 6
Promotion - Super League (Championship Group)
Relegation - Super League (Relegation Group)