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Basel vs Vaduz

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Senaya E.
37' Event
Campos A.
45' Event
Ajeti Al.

AI Match Summary

Vaduz in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 2-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vaduz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Basel
33%
Draws
40%
Vaduz
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Vaduz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Vaduz have won more games recently than Basel.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Vaduz taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Basel Clean Sheet 11%
Vaduz Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Basel Vaduz
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 19
Draws 5 3
Losses 14 6
Goals Scored 0.75 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.88 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 26, 2026 Club Friendly
Basel vs Vaduz
2:5
Jul 8, 2023 Club Friendly
Vaduz vs Basel
1:2
Apr 21, 2021 Super League
Vaduz vs Basel
1:1
Apr 5, 2021 Super League
Basel vs Vaduz
1:2
Dec 12, 2020 Super League
Vaduz vs Basel
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Basel Compare

Top Goalscorer Senaya E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ajeti Al.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Vaduz Compare

Top Goalscorer Monsberger M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Campos A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Basel 27 / 100
Vaduz 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Basel Vaduz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VAD Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Basel found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Vaduz has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Recent resilience: Basel stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Basel VS Vaduz
0.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Basel

(Home)
25 Jul
Servette
0 : 1
Basel
18 Jul
Basel
0 : 0
Juventus
11 Jul
Basel
2 : 2
Winterthur
08 Jul
Basel
0 : 3
Yverdon
26 Jun
Rapperswil-Jona
0 : 3
Basel
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Vaduz

(Away)
26 Jul
Lugano
2 : 1
Vaduz
23 Jul
Vaduz
4 : 0
Atletic Escaldes
17 Jul
Lugano
1 : 2
Vaduz
10 Jul
Altach
1 : 0
Vaduz
04 Jul
Vaduz
1 : 0
A. Lustenau
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