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Basel vs Vaduz

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Senaya E.
37' Event
Campos A.
45' Event
Ajeti Al.

AI Match Summary

Vaduz in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 2-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vaduz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Basel
15%
Draws
51%
Vaduz
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vaduz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Vaduz have won more games recently than Basel.
  • 51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 95%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 95%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
Basel Clean Sheet 10%
Vaduz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Basel Vaduz
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 11 17
Draws 4 2
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.71 2.23
Goals Conceded 2.04 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 26, 2026 Club Friendly
Basel vs Vaduz
2:5
Jul 8, 2023 Club Friendly
Vaduz vs Basel
1:2
Apr 21, 2021 Super League
Vaduz vs Basel
1:1
Apr 5, 2021 Super League
Basel vs Vaduz
1:2
Dec 12, 2020 Super League
Vaduz vs Basel
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Basel Compare

Top Goalscorer Senaya E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ajeti Al.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Vaduz Compare

Top Goalscorer Monsberger M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Campos A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Basel 34 / 100
Vaduz 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Basel Vaduz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vaduz Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vaduz has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Basel scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Vaduz's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Basel VS Vaduz
2.88 Goals Scored 2.25
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Basel

(Home)
20 Sept
Basel
1 : 3
St. Gallen
13 Sept
Luzern
2 : 4
Basel
06 Sept
Basel
1 : 3
Lugano
03 Sept
Basel
1 : 2
Sion
29 Aug
Young Boys
3 : 3
Basel
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Vaduz

(Away)
20 Sept
Vaduz
1 : 2
Thun
13 Sept
Zurich
2 : 1
Vaduz
05 Sept
Vaduz
3 : 1
Lausanne
02 Sept
Luzern
2 : 1
Vaduz
30 Aug
Vaduz
5 : 2
Grasshoppers
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