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Basel W vs St. Gallen W

Switzerland Switzerland

Super League Women 2025/2026 Leichtathletik Stadion St. jakob, Basel
Fri, May 1, 2026
0 - 3
05:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Thuer J.
56'
Sub
Ibishaj M. In: Cavelti S.
Out: Ibishaj M.
56'
Sub
Thuer J. In: Frischknecht L.
Out: Thuer J.

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Super League Women 2025/2026. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. St. Gallen W have shipped 1.83 goals a game lately, while Basel W have conceded 1.16 and scored 1.47. Past meetings favor Basel W slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 4, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (2.19 - 0.94) back Basel W to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Basel W
35%
Draws
9%
St. Gallen W
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Basel W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Basel W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Basel W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Basel W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Basel W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Basel W Clean Sheet 20%
St. Gallen W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Basel W St. Gallen W
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 16 10
Draws 7 5
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.47 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.16 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 Super League Women
Basel W vs St. Gallen W
1:0
May 1, 2026 Super League Women
Basel W vs St. Gallen W
0:3
Apr 25, 2026 Super League Women
St. Gallen W vs Basel W
1:0
Mar 18, 2026 Super League Women
Basel W vs St. Gallen W
3:0
Dec 13, 2025 Swiss Cup Women
St. Gallen W vs Basel W
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Basel W Compare

Top Goalscorer Jackson S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Flis K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

St. Gallen W Compare

Top Goalscorer Cavelti S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Basel W 85 / 100
St. Gallen W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Basel W St. Gallen W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Basel W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Basel W's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

St. Gallen W has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Basel W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Basel W VS St. Gallen W
1.75 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Basel W

(Home)
03 Oct
Yverdon W
3 : 2
Basel W
19 Sept
Basel W
2 : 2
Rapperswil-Jona W
13 Sept
Zurich W
1 : 1
Basel W
09 Sept
Basel W
1 : 1
Grasshopper W
04 Sept
Basel W
1 : 0
St. Gallen W
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St. Gallen W

(Away)
04 Oct
St. Gallen W
0 : 3
Servette W
19 Sept
St. Gallen W
1 : 4
Grasshopper W
13 Sept
Young Boys W
4 : 1
St. Gallen W
09 Sept
St. Gallen W
2 : 2
Aarau W
04 Sept
Basel W
1 : 0
St. Gallen W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Servette W 6
Aarau W 1
Grasshopper W 0
Zurich W 2
Young Boys W 5
Rapperswil-Jona W 1
Basel W 0
St. Gallen W 4
Semi-finals
Servette W 6
Zurich W 0
Young Boys W 4
St. Gallen W 1
Final
Servette W 4
Young Boys W 1