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Bashundara Kings vs Mohammedan

Bangladesh Bangladesh

BFL 2025/2026 Bashundhara Kings Arena, Dhaka
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Hossain R.
Assist: Fahim M.
20'
Yousuf Ali M.
22'
Uddin S.

AI Match Summary

The BFL 2025/2026 game between Bashundara Kings and Mohammedan finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bashundara Kings.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Bashundara Kings
20%
Draws
36%
Mohammedan
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bashundara Kings

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Bashundara Kings carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 44% — that's where the model lands on Bashundara Kings taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Bashundara Kings Clean Sheet 16%
Mohammedan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bashundara Kings Mohammedan
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 17 12
Draws 8 8
Losses 4 8
Goals Scored 2.38 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2026 Federation Cup
Bashundara Kings vs Mohammedan
3:2
Apr 30, 2026 BFL
Mohammedan vs Bashundara Kings
1:2
Dec 23, 2025 Federation Cup
Bashundara Kings vs Mohammedan
0:0
Dec 12, 2025 BFL
Bashundara Kings vs Mohammedan
2:0
Apr 12, 2025 BFL
Bashundara Kings vs Mohammedan
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bashundara Kings Compare

Top Goalscorer Hossain R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dorielton
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Mohammedan Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bashundara Kings 39 / 100
Mohammedan 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bashundara Kings Mohammedan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bashundara Kings Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bashundara Kings's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: Bashundara Kings stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Mohammedan let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Bashundara Kings VS Mohammedan
2.25 Goals Scored 2.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Bashundara Kings

(Home)
19 Sept
Arambagh
1 : 1
Bashundara Kings
23 May
Bashundara Kings
4 : 1
Fakirerpool YMC
20 May
Bashundara Kings
3 : 2
Mohammedan
15 May
Abahani Limited Dhaka
0 : 2
Bashundara Kings
08 May
Bashundara Kings
1 : 1
Bangladesh Police
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Mohammedan

(Away)
02 Oct
Fakirerpool YMC
0 : 1
Mohammedan
23 May
Mohammedan
5 : 0
Brothers U.
20 May
Bashundara Kings
3 : 2
Mohammedan
15 May
Rahmatgonj MFS
1 : 0
Mohammedan
12 May
Brothers U.
1 : 2
Mohammedan
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