Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Bashundara Kings vs Mohammedan

Bangladesh Bangladesh

Federation Cup Bashundhara Kings Arena, Dhaka
Bashundara Kings Logo

Bashundara Kings

3 - 2
FT
Mohammedan Logo

Mohammedan

Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Muzaffarov M.
9' Event
Dorielton
(Penalty)
34' Event
Dewan S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-2. This leg finished 3-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Bashundara Kings
15%
Draws
35%
Mohammedan
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bashundara Kings

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bashundara Kings lately — more wins on the board than Mohammedan.
  • Model gives Bashundara Kings a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Bashundara Kings have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Bashundara Kings, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Bashundara Kings Clean Sheet 16%
Mohammedan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Bashundara Kings Mohammedan
Matches Played 37 31
Wins 22 13
Draws 10 9
Losses 5 9
Goals Scored 2.16 2
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2026 Federation Cup
Bashundara Kings vs Mohammedan
3:2
Apr 30, 2026 BFL
Mohammedan vs Bashundara Kings
1:2
Dec 23, 2025 Federation Cup
Bashundara Kings vs Mohammedan
0:0
Dec 12, 2025 BFL
Bashundara Kings vs Mohammedan
2:0
Apr 12, 2025 BFL
Bashundara Kings vs Mohammedan
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Bashundara Kings Compare

Top Goalscorer Dorielton
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Mohammedan Compare

Top Goalscorer Muzaffarov M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dewan S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Bashundara Kings 39 / 100
Mohammedan 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Bashundara Kings Mohammedan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bashundara Kings Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bashundara Kings's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 37 recent games.

Bashundara Kings has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Mohammedan has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Bashundara Kings VS Mohammedan
2.5 Goals Scored 2.38
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Bashundara Kings

(Home)
23 May
Bashundara Kings
4 : 1
Fakirerpool YMC
20 May
Bashundara Kings
3 : 2
Mohammedan
15 May
Abahani Limited Dhaka
0 : 2
Bashundara Kings
08 May
Bashundara Kings
1 : 1
Bangladesh Police
05 May
Brothers U.
0 : 4
Bashundara Kings
Page 1 of 8

Mohammedan

(Away)
23 May
Mohammedan
5 : 0
Brothers U.
20 May
Bashundara Kings
3 : 2
Mohammedan
15 May
Rahmatgonj MFS
1 : 0
Mohammedan
12 May
Brothers U.
1 : 2
Mohammedan
09 May
Arambagh
0 : 2
Mohammedan
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Brothers U. 0
Bashundara Kings 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rahmatgonj MFS 0
Mohammedan 3
Semi-finals
Bashundara Kings -
TBD -
Brothers U. 1
Mohammedan 2
Final
Bashundara Kings 3
Mohammedan 2