Sport Picks
Basico Urraca vs Atletico de Lugones - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera Division - Group 2 2016/2017 
AI Match Summary
The Tercera Division - Group 2 2016/2017 game between Basico Urraca and Atletico de Lugones finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Basico Urraca.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
50%
20%
30%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Basico Urraca
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
50%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Atletico de Lugones come out ahead of Basico Urraca on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Basico Urraca's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Basico Urraca Clean Sheet 15%
Atletico de Lugones Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Basico Urraca | Atletico de Lugones |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 3 | 5 |
| Draws | 11 | 5 |
| Losses | 16 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 0.93 | 0.53 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.73 | 1.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.10 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 23, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Basico Urraca vs Atletico de Lugones
3:0
Nov 27, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Atletico de Lugones vs Basico Urraca
1:1
Jan 31, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Atletico de Lugones vs Basico Urraca
1:1
Sep 13, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Basico Urraca vs Atletico de Lugones
1:1
Apr 19, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Atletico de Lugones vs Basico Urraca
2:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Basico Urraca 84 / 100
Atletico de Lugones 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Basico Urraca Atletico de Lugones
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Basico Urraca Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Atletico de Lugones conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.
Attacking prowess: Basico Urraca scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
Solid form: Basico Urraca remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Basico Urraca VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Basico Urraca
(Home) 11 May
Basico Urraca
1 : 4 Praviano
04 May
Gijon B
1 : 1 Basico Urraca
26 Apr
CD Roces
0 : 2 Basico Urraca
17 Apr
Basico Urraca
1 : 1 Union Club Ceares
12 Apr
Lealtad
5 : 1 Basico Urraca
Page 1 of 6
11 May
Basico Urraca
1 : 4 Praviano
17 Apr
Basico Urraca
1 : 1 Union Club Ceares
06 Apr
Basico Urraca
0 : 0 CD Colunga
23 Mar
Basico Urraca
1 : 1 Covadonga
09 Mar
Basico Urraca
1 : 2 L Entregu CF
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Atletico de Lugones
(Away) 01 Nov
Atletico de Lugones
0 : 6 Rayo Vallecano
11 Oct
Pradejon
1 : 2 Atletico de Lugones
19 Oct
Barbadas-Bentraces
2 : 1 Atletico de Lugones
13 May
Atletico de Lugones
0 : 2 Langreo
06 May
L Entregu CF
5 : 0 Atletico de Lugones
Page 1 of 6
11 Oct
Pradejon
1 : 2 Atletico de Lugones
19 Oct
Barbadas-Bentraces
2 : 1 Atletico de Lugones
06 May
L Entregu CF
5 : 0 Atletico de Lugones
29 Apr
Valdesoto
2 : 0 Atletico de Lugones
15 Apr
Llanes
6 : 1 Atletico de Lugones
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gijon B | 38 | 28 | 8 | 2 | 112:18 | 92 |
| 2 | Real Aviles | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 90:34 | 85 |
| 3 | Langreo | 38 | 25 | 9 | 4 | 78:26 | 84 |
| 4 | Tuilla | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 61:35 | 84 |
| 5 | Real Oviedo B | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 78:32 | 75 |
| 6 | Marino De Luanco | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 61:36 | 75 |
| 7 | Covadonga | 38 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 69:50 | 63 |
| 8 | Condal | 38 | 17 | 11 | 10 | 65:50 | 62 |
| 9 | Union Club Ceares | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 47:63 | 49 |
| 10 | Llanes | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 53:44 | 48 |
| 11 | CD Colunga | 38 | 15 | 3 | 20 | 51:59 | 48 |
| 12 | CD Mosconia | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 38:84 | 35 |
| 13 | Llanera | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 38:61 | 35 |
| 14 | Praviano | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 46:78 | 35 |
| 15 | L Entregu CF | 38 | 8 | 9 | 21 | 27:66 | 33 |
| 16 | Club Siero | 38 | 8 | 9 | 21 | 36:83 | 33 |
| 17 | Atletico de Lugones | 38 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 42:78 | 31 |
| 18 | CD Tineo | 38 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 42:71 | 31 |
| 19 | Lenense | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 50:84 | 30 |
| 20 | Basico Urraca | 38 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 32:64 | 27 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2016/2017 (Main)
