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Basico Urraca vs Real Tapia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera Division - Group 2 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 2 2012/2013 game between Basico Urraca and Real Tapia finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Basico Urraca
20%
Draws
30%
Real Tapia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Basico Urraca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Basico Urraca carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Basico Urraca are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 2 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Basico Urraca Clean Sheet 15%
Real Tapia Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Basico Urraca Real Tapia
Matches Played 36 32
Wins 8 6
Draws 12 3
Losses 16 23
Goals Scored 1.14 0.72
Goals Conceded 1.61 2.09
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Basico Urraca vs Real Tapia
2:1
Nov 17, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Real Tapia vs Basico Urraca
1:2
Mar 10, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Basico Urraca vs Real Tapia
1:1
Oct 21, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Real Tapia vs Basico Urraca
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Basico Urraca 41 / 100
Real Tapia 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Basico Urraca Real Tapia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Tapia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 32 matches.

Attacking prowess: Basico Urraca scored in 72% of their last 36 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Basico Urraca remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Basico Urraca VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Basico Urraca

(Home)
11 May
Basico Urraca
1 : 4
Praviano
04 May
Gijon B
1 : 1
Basico Urraca
26 Apr
CD Roces
0 : 2
Basico Urraca
17 Apr
Basico Urraca
1 : 1
Union Club Ceares
12 Apr
Lealtad
5 : 1
Basico Urraca
Page 1 of 8

Real Tapia

(Away)
11 May
Real Tapia
2 : 0
Lealtad
03 May
Atletico de Lugones
3 : 2
Real Tapia
27 Apr
Real Tapia
0 : 1
Covadonga
17 Apr
Langreo
4 : 1
Real Tapia
13 Apr
Real Tapia
0 : 1
Union Club Ceares
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tuilla 38 25 6 7 70:35 81
2 Universidad Oviedo 38 22 9 7 59:28 75
3 Covadonga 38 21 9 8 58:30 72
4 Langreo 38 20 11 7 54:22 71
5 Real Oviedo B 38 17 10 11 51:47 61
6 Lealtad 38 15 11 12 52:42 56
7 L Entregu CF 38 13 15 10 42:39 54
8 Condal 38 15 9 14 48:42 54
9 Cudillero 38 13 14 11 46:40 53
10 Luarca 38 13 12 13 42:43 51
11 Praviano 38 13 11 14 37:50 50
12 Union Club Ceares 38 13 9 16 43:48 48
13 Basico Urraca 38 11 12 15 55:57 45
14 Real Tapia 38 11 10 17 34:43 43
15 Gijon Industrial 38 10 13 15 35:42 43
16 Candas CF 38 11 9 18 37:56 42
17 Atletico de Lugones 38 10 12 16 42:52 42
18 Llanes 38 8 18 12 36:45 42
19 Navia 38 5 13 20 35:73 28
20 Navarro 38 3 9 26 27:69 18
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)