Sport Picks
Basingstoke vs Evesham - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
Southern League Premier South 
Match Events
34'
34'
Churchley K.
42'
42'
Liggett B.
72'
72'
Churchley K.
AI Match Summary
Evesham in this Southern League Premier South matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Evesham.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Basingstoke
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Evesham lately — more wins on the board than Basingstoke.
- Win probability leans Basingstoke's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Southern League Premier South form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Basingstoke Clean Sheet 18%
Evesham Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Basingstoke | Evesham |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 10 |
| Draws | 7 | 4 |
| Losses | 12 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.64 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.82 | 1.9 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 8, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Basingstoke vs Evesham
2:4
Dec 20, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Basingstoke vs Evesham
1:0
Aug 12, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Evesham vs Basingstoke
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Basingstoke Compare
Top Goalscorer Lewis J. L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Kokoszka A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Evesham Compare
Top Goalscorer Churchley K.
3 Goals Assists Leader Liggett B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Basingstoke 85 / 100
Evesham 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Basingstoke Evesham
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Basingstoke Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Basingstoke found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).
Away concern: Evesham has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.
Evesham's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Basingstoke VS Evesham
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Basingstoke
(Home) 24 Oct
Basingstoke
2 : 0 Plymouth Parkway
17 Oct
Gosport Borough
4 : 0 Basingstoke
13 Oct
Havant & Waterlooville
4 : 1 Basingstoke
10 Oct
Basingstoke
4 : 1 Malvern Town
29 Sept
Uxbridge
2 : 1 Basingstoke
Page 1 of 6
24 Oct
Basingstoke
2 : 0 Plymouth Parkway
10 Oct
Basingstoke
4 : 1 Malvern Town
19 Sept
Basingstoke
1 : 1 Gosport Borough
05 Sept
Basingstoke
0 : 0 AFC Stoneham
31 Aug
Basingstoke
2 : 1 Bracknell Town
Page 1 of 3
Evesham
(Away) 24 Oct
Evesham
0 : 4 Halesowen
20 Oct
Chertsey Town
2 : 0 Evesham
17 Oct
Evesham
1 : 4 Taunton Town
13 Oct
Evesham
0 : 2 Bath City
10 Oct
Uxbridge
1 : 0 Evesham
Page 1 of 6
20 Oct
Chertsey Town
2 : 0 Evesham
10 Oct
Uxbridge
1 : 0 Evesham
03 Oct
Poole Town
3 : 1 Evesham
19 Sept
Redditch
3 : 0 Evesham
05 Sept
Belper Town
0 : 3 Evesham
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Poole Town | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 22:13 | 27 |
| 2 | Uxbridge | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 23:8 | 26 |
| 3 | Bath City | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 19:10 | 26 |
| 4 | Hanworth Villa | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 25:15 | 24 |
| 5 | Plymouth Parkway | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 26:12 | 23 |
| 6 | Chichester City | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 23:21 | 22 |
| 7 | Taunton Town | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 32:25 | 19 |
| 8 | Chertsey Town | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 25:18 | 19 |
| 9 | Frome Town | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20:16 | 19 |
| 10 | Wimborne | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20:9 | 18 |
| 11 | Gosport Borough | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 19:17 | 18 |
| 12 | Berkhamsted Town | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 15:17 | 16 |
| 13 | Bracknell Town | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 13:27 | 14 |
| 14 | Yate | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 16:25 | 13 |
| 15 | Evesham | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 15:26 | 13 |
| 16 | Sholing | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13:17 | 12 |
| 17 | Basingstoke | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 19:25 | 12 |
| 18 | Hanwell Town | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 10:14 | 11 |
| 19 | Malvern Town | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 19:34 | 11 |
| 20 | Gloucester City | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 15:18 | 10 |
| 21 | Havant & Waterlooville | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 18:26 | 9 |
| 22 | Chippenham Town | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11:25 | 9 |
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