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Basingstoke vs Plymouth Parkway - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Southern League Premier South
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Basingstoke host Plymouth Parkway in the Southern League Premier South. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Basingstoke have averaged 1.63 scored and 1.85 conceded recently, against Plymouth Parkway's 2.11 scored and 1.39 conceded. Head-to-head, Basingstoke have won 2 to Plymouth Parkway's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 3, 2026, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 1.50, favoring Plymouth Parkway. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Basingstoke
20%
Draws
51%
Plymouth Parkway
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Plymouth Parkway

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Plymouth Parkway come out ahead of Basingstoke on wins alone.
  • Model gives Basingstoke a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Southern League Premier South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Basingstoke Clean Sheet 16%
Plymouth Parkway Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Basingstoke Plymouth Parkway
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 8 18
Draws 7 4
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1.63 2.11
Goals Conceded 1.85 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Plymouth Parkway vs Basingstoke
3:0
Aug 23, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Basingstoke vs Plymouth Parkway
1:1
Jan 4, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Basingstoke vs Plymouth Parkway
0:1
Aug 10, 2024 Southern League Premier South
Plymouth Parkway vs Basingstoke
1:3
Feb 24, 2024 Southern League Premier South
Basingstoke vs Plymouth Parkway
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Basingstoke 36 / 100
Plymouth Parkway 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Basingstoke Plymouth Parkway

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Basingstoke scored in 81% of their last 27 games.

Plymouth Parkway let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Basingstoke went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Basingstoke VS Plymouth Parkway
1 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Basingstoke

(Home)
13 Oct
Havant & Waterlooville
4 : 1
Basingstoke
10 Oct
Basingstoke
4 : 1
Malvern Town
29 Sept
Uxbridge
2 : 1
Basingstoke
26 Sept
Poole Town
1 : 0
Basingstoke
19 Sept
Basingstoke
1 : 1
Gosport Borough
Page 1 of 6

Plymouth Parkway

(Away)
13 Oct
Plymouth Parkway
2 : 1
Wimborne
10 Oct
Chichester City
3 : 1
Plymouth Parkway
03 Oct
Plymouth Parkway
2 : 1
Horsham FC
29 Sept
Gloucester City
1 : 1
Plymouth Parkway
26 Sept
Plymouth Parkway
0 : 3
Bath City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Poole Town 11 8 0 3 18:12 24
2 Plymouth Parkway 11 7 2 2 26:12 23
3 Uxbridge 10 7 2 1 20:8 23
4 Hanworth Villa 11 7 1 3 22:12 22
5 Bath City 11 6 2 3 16:10 20
6 Frome Town 12 5 4 3 20:14 19
7 Chichester City 11 6 1 4 20:19 19
8 Chertsey Town 11 4 4 3 23:18 16
9 Berkhamsted Town 11 5 1 5 14:14 16
10 Wimborne 10 4 3 3 17:9 15
11 Gosport Borough 11 4 3 4 15:14 15
12 Taunton Town 10 4 1 5 24:24 13
13 Evesham 11 4 1 6 14:20 13
14 Basingstoke 11 3 3 5 19:21 12
15 Yate 11 3 3 5 15:24 12
16 Hanwell Town 10 2 5 3 10:12 11
17 Sholing 10 3 2 5 12:16 11
18 Bracknell Town 11 3 2 6 12:23 11
19 Gloucester City 10 2 4 4 15:18 10
20 Havant & Waterlooville 11 2 2 7 16:23 8
21 Chippenham Town 10 2 2 6 9:20 8
22 Malvern Town 11 2 2 7 17:31 8
Promotion - National League South 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South (Play Offs)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South (Play Offs)