Sport Picks
Basingstoke vs Tiverton
England
Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 
Match Events
13'
13'
Bello O.
(Penalty)
32'
32'
Collins G.
52'
52'
O'Loughlin J.
AI Match Summary
Basingstoke in this Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Basingstoke.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
24%
20%
56%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Tiverton
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
56%
/ Medium Confidence
- Basingstoke average 1.48 goals a game right now, well clear of Tiverton's 1.
- 56% — that's where the model lands on Tiverton taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Basingstoke have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 93%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 32%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Basingstoke Clean Sheet 10%
Tiverton Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Basingstoke | Tiverton |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 7 |
| Draws | 9 | 1 |
| Losses | 13 | 21 |
| Goals Scored | 1.48 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.86 | 2.55 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.57 | 2.10 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 18, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Basingstoke vs Tiverton
3:1
Mar 17, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Tiverton vs Basingstoke
0:4
Mar 1, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Tiverton vs Basingstoke
0:5
Nov 23, 2024 Southern League Premier South
Basingstoke vs Tiverton
1:3
Jan 20, 2024 Southern League Premier South
Basingstoke vs Tiverton
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Basingstoke Compare
Top Goalscorer O'Loughlin J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Cook B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.21
Avg xA / game 0.79
Tiverton Compare
Top Goalscorer Collins G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.91
Avg xA / game 1.17
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Basingstoke 26 / 100
Tiverton 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Basingstoke Tiverton
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Tiverton Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Tiverton conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.
H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.
Attacking prowess: Basingstoke scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.
Recent resilience: Basingstoke stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Basingstoke VS Tiverton
2 Goals Scored 1.57
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.14
100% Over 1.5 86%
75% Over 2.5 71%
50% Over 3.5 14%
Recent Form & Match History
Basingstoke
(Home) 12 Sept
Gloucester City
1 : 1 Basingstoke
08 Sept
AFC Stoneham
1 : 0 Basingstoke
05 Sept
Basingstoke
0 : 0 AFC Stoneham
31 Aug
Basingstoke
2 : 1 Bracknell Town
29 Aug
Taunton Town
4 : 3 Basingstoke
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Basingstoke
0 : 0 AFC Stoneham
31 Aug
Basingstoke
2 : 1 Bracknell Town
22 Aug
Basingstoke
1 : 1 Bath City
08 Aug
Basingstoke
2 : 4 Evesham
21 Jul
Basingstoke
2 : 6 Chesham
Page 1 of 3
Tiverton
(Away) 12 Sept
Tiverton
3 : 0 Larkhall
05 Sept
St. Blazey
1 : 2 Tiverton
29 Aug
Bideford
1 : 2 Tiverton
18 Jul
Tiverton
2 : 0 Brixham
25 Apr
Tiverton
0 : 3 Farnham
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
St. Blazey
1 : 2 Tiverton
29 Aug
Bideford
1 : 2 Tiverton
18 Apr
Basingstoke
3 : 1 Tiverton
11 Apr
Bracknell Town
8 : 0 Tiverton
03 Apr
Sholing
2 : 1 Tiverton
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Walton & Hersham | 42 | 29 | 5 | 8 | 94:42 | 92 |
| 2 | Farnham | 42 | 25 | 9 | 8 | 90:50 | 84 |
| 3 | Gloucester City | 42 | 25 | 7 | 10 | 93:51 | 82 |
| 4 | Poole Town | 42 | 21 | 12 | 9 | 80:50 | 75 |
| 5 | Berkhamsted Town | 42 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 62:50 | 72 |
| 6 | Sholing | 42 | 18 | 15 | 9 | 74:53 | 69 |
| 7 | Chertsey Town | 42 | 19 | 10 | 13 | 64:55 | 67 |
| 8 | Gosport Borough | 42 | 19 | 6 | 17 | 74:75 | 63 |
| 9 | Uxbridge | 42 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 74:70 | 59 |
| 10 | Havant & Waterlooville | 42 | 17 | 7 | 18 | 78:70 | 58 |
| 11 | Plymouth Parkway | 42 | 16 | 8 | 18 | 64:79 | 56 |
| 12 | Bracknell Town | 42 | 15 | 10 | 17 | 70:71 | 55 |
| 13 | Yate | 42 | 14 | 10 | 18 | 57:62 | 52 |
| 14 | Hanwell Town | 42 | 14 | 10 | 18 | 57:63 | 52 |
| 15 | Wimborne | 42 | 12 | 15 | 15 | 63:62 | 51 |
| 16 | Taunton Town | 42 | 14 | 9 | 19 | 65:70 | 51 |
| 17 | Basingstoke | 42 | 14 | 9 | 19 | 61:71 | 51 |
| 18 | Evesham | 42 | 11 | 14 | 17 | 51:62 | 47 |
| 19 | Weymouth | 42 | 13 | 8 | 21 | 53:71 | 47 |
| 20 | Dorchester | 42 | 9 | 13 | 20 | 48:79 | 40 |
| 21 | Hungerford | 42 | 9 | 11 | 22 | 47:87 | 38 |
| 22 | Tiverton | 42 | 5 | 3 | 34 | 39:115 | 18 |
Promotion - National League South (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
