Sport Picks
Basingstoke vs Weymouth
England
Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 
Match Events
45'
45'
Gallagher R.
47'
47'
Goodship B.
79'
79'
Goodship B.
AI Match Summary
Weymouth in this Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Weymouth.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Weymouth haven't matched Basingstoke's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Basingstoke's way, sitting at 40%.
- Regular Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Basingstoke Clean Sheet 13%
Weymouth Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Basingstoke | Weymouth |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 10 |
| Draws | 7 | 4 |
| Losses | 12 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.63 | 1.34 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.77 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 24, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Basingstoke vs Weymouth
1:2
Nov 15, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Weymouth vs Basingstoke
1:2
Feb 2, 2019 Southern League Premier South
Weymouth vs Basingstoke
1:2
Nov 3, 2018 Southern League Premier South
Basingstoke vs Weymouth
1:2
Nov 28, 2017 Southern Premier League
Basingstoke vs Weymouth
3:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Basingstoke Compare
Top Goalscorer Gallagher R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Weymouth Compare
Top Goalscorer Goodship B.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Basingstoke 39 / 100
Weymouth 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Basingstoke Weymouth
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Basingstoke Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Basingstoke found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).
Games between these two average 3.60 goals.
Weymouth's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.
Difficult form: Weymouth registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Basingstoke VS Weymouth
2.13 Goals Scored 1.13
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Basingstoke
(Home) 22 Aug
Basingstoke
1 : 1 Bath City
15 Aug
Poole Town
0 : 2 Basingstoke
11 Aug
Hanwell Town
2 : 1 Basingstoke
08 Aug
Basingstoke
2 : 4 Evesham
21 Jul
Basingstoke
2 : 6 Chesham
Page 1 of 6
22 Aug
Basingstoke
1 : 1 Bath City
08 Aug
Basingstoke
2 : 4 Evesham
21 Jul
Basingstoke
2 : 6 Chesham
18 Apr
Basingstoke
3 : 1 Tiverton
06 Apr
Basingstoke
1 : 0 Sholing
Page 1 of 3
Weymouth
(Away) 01 Aug
Frome Town
0 : 0 Weymouth
18 Jul
Weymouth
2 : 3 Barry Town
25 Apr
Berkhamsted Town
2 : 0 Weymouth
18 Apr
Weymouth
5 : 1 Chertsey Town
11 Apr
Hanwell Town
4 : 0 Weymouth
Page 1 of 6
01 Aug
Frome Town
0 : 0 Weymouth
25 Apr
Berkhamsted Town
2 : 0 Weymouth
11 Apr
Hanwell Town
4 : 0 Weymouth
03 Apr
Bracknell Town
1 : 2 Weymouth
21 Mar
Yate
0 : 2 Weymouth
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Walton & Hersham | 42 | 29 | 5 | 8 | 94:42 | 92 |
| 2 | Farnham | 42 | 25 | 9 | 8 | 90:50 | 84 |
| 3 | Gloucester City | 42 | 25 | 7 | 10 | 93:51 | 82 |
| 4 | Poole Town | 42 | 21 | 12 | 9 | 80:50 | 75 |
| 5 | Berkhamsted Town | 42 | 21 | 9 | 12 | 62:50 | 72 |
| 6 | Sholing | 42 | 18 | 15 | 9 | 74:53 | 69 |
| 7 | Chertsey Town | 42 | 19 | 10 | 13 | 64:55 | 67 |
| 8 | Gosport Borough | 42 | 19 | 6 | 17 | 74:75 | 63 |
| 9 | Uxbridge | 42 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 74:70 | 59 |
| 10 | Havant & Waterlooville | 42 | 17 | 7 | 18 | 78:70 | 58 |
| 11 | Plymouth Parkway | 42 | 16 | 8 | 18 | 64:79 | 56 |
| 12 | Bracknell Town | 42 | 15 | 10 | 17 | 70:71 | 55 |
| 13 | Yate | 42 | 14 | 10 | 18 | 57:62 | 52 |
| 14 | Hanwell Town | 42 | 14 | 10 | 18 | 57:63 | 52 |
| 15 | Wimborne | 42 | 12 | 15 | 15 | 63:62 | 51 |
| 16 | Taunton Town | 42 | 14 | 9 | 19 | 65:70 | 51 |
| 17 | Basingstoke | 42 | 14 | 9 | 19 | 61:71 | 51 |
| 18 | Evesham | 42 | 11 | 14 | 17 | 51:62 | 47 |
| 19 | Weymouth | 42 | 13 | 8 | 21 | 53:71 | 47 |
| 20 | Dorchester | 42 | 9 | 13 | 20 | 48:79 | 40 |
| 21 | Hungerford | 42 | 9 | 11 | 22 | 47:87 | 38 |
| 22 | Tiverton | 42 | 5 | 3 | 34 | 39:115 | 18 |
Promotion - National League South (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
