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BASK vs Zvezdara Prediction & H2H Stats

Serbia Serbia

Srpska Liga - Belgrade 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Zvezdara in this Srpska Liga - Belgrade 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Zvezdara.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
BASK
15%
Draws
42%
Zvezdara
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: BASK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to BASK lately — more wins on the board than Zvezdara.
  • BASK are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
BASK Clean Sheet 17%
Zvezdara Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric BASK Zvezdara
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 11
Draws 5 5
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.23 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.35 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 Srpska Liga - Belgrade
BASK vs Zvezdara
0:3
Oct 18, 2025 Srpska Liga - Belgrade
Zvezdara vs BASK
0:1
Mar 30, 2025 Srpska Liga - Belgrade
Zvezdara vs BASK
2:0
Sep 13, 2024 Srpska Liga - Belgrade
BASK vs Zvezdara
2:3
May 17, 2024 Srpska Liga - Belgrade
BASK vs Zvezdara
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

BASK 48 / 100
Zvezdara 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
BASK Zvezdara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BASK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zvezdara has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Zvezdara lost 3 of their last 5 games.

BASK scored in 55% of their last 31 games.

Scoring Trends

BASK VS Zvezdara
2.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

BASK

(Home)
25 Sept
BASK
2 : 0
Prva Iskra
20 Sept
Padinska Skela
3 : 1
BASK
11 Sept
BASK
3 : 1
Brodarac
06 Sept
Radnicki Obrenovac
2 : 1
BASK
28 Aug
BASK
1 : 3
Jedinstvo Surcin
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Zvezdara

(Away)
27 Sept
Nika Lepusnica
2 : 0
Zvezdara
19 Sept
Zvezdara
3 : 2
Polet Dorcol
12 Sept
Torlak
5 : 1
Zvezdara
05 Sept
Zvezdara
0 : 1
Bezanija
29 Aug
Prva Iskra
0 : 2
Zvezdara
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Teleoptik 26 21 5 0 77:23 68
2 Radnicki Obrenovac 26 17 4 5 70:40 55
3 Torlak 26 14 5 7 59:30 47
4 Brodarac 26 12 6 8 43:29 42
5 Padinska Skela 26 10 7 9 31:32 37
6 Jedinstvo Surcin 26 10 6 10 25:30 36
7 Buducnost Dobanovci 26 9 9 8 35:32 36
8 Nika Lepusnica 26 9 9 8 43:24 36
9 Prva Iskra 26 9 6 11 38:39 33
10 Polet Dorcol 26 9 5 12 36:40 32
11 Zvezdara 26 9 5 12 33:45 32
12 BASK 26 8 6 12 27:31 29
13 Radnicki Beograd 26 4 7 15 25:53 18
14 Kolubara 26 1 0 25 9:103 3
Promotion - Mozzart Bet Prva Liga (Main)
Relegation - Srpska Liga - Belgrade 2025/2026 (Relegation)