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Baskonia vs Lagun Onak - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 4 2008/2009
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Baskonia in this Tercera Division - Group 4 2008/2009 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Baskonia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Baskonia
30%
Draws
41%
Lagun Onak
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lagun Onak

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lagun Onak lately — more wins on the board than Baskonia.
  • Model gives Baskonia a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 4 2008/2009 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Baskonia Clean Sheet 19%
Lagun Onak Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Baskonia Lagun Onak
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 9 15
Draws 12 11
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.37 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.91
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 20, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Lagun Onak vs Baskonia
1:0
Oct 11, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Baskonia vs Lagun Onak
3:2
Apr 25, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Baskonia vs Lagun Onak
1:0
Dec 13, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Lagun Onak vs Baskonia
2:0
Jan 12, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
Baskonia vs Lagun Onak
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Baskonia 36 / 100
Lagun Onak 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Baskonia Lagun Onak

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Baskonia scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Lagun Onak let in goals in 60% of their last 35 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Solid form: Baskonia remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Lagun Onak
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Baskonia

(Home)
08 May
Eibar B
4 : 3
Baskonia
02 May
Baskonia
0 : 0
Real Sociedad B
24 Apr
Amorebieta
3 : 0
Baskonia
17 Apr
Baskonia
3 : 3
Retuerto Sport
11 Apr
Leioa
0 : 2
Baskonia
Page 1 of 6

Lagun Onak

(Away)
03 Oct
Lagun Onak
1 : 2
UD Aretxabaleta
27 Sept
Santurtzi
0 : 1
Lagun Onak
19 Sept
Lagun Onak
1 : 0
San Ignacio
12 Sept
Real Sociedad C
2 : 0
Lagun Onak
05 Sept
Lagun Onak
1 : 1
Leioa
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lagun Onak 38 21 10 7 51:25 73
2 Amurrio Club 38 21 10 7 63:27 73
3 Elgoibar 38 19 13 6 54:32 70
4 Portugalete 38 20 10 8 54:35 70
5 Beasain 38 20 10 8 68:38 70
6 Gernika Club 38 15 11 12 45:35 56
7 Baskonia 38 14 14 10 50:51 56
8 Laudio 38 11 17 10 39:43 50
9 Zamudio 38 11 16 11 42:38 49
10 Amorebieta 38 13 9 16 59:59 48
11 Leioa 38 12 11 15 38:45 47
12 Arenas Getxo 38 11 14 13 38:43 47
13 Zalla UC 38 12 10 16 35:53 46
14 Santurtzi 38 12 10 16 36:45 46
15 Eibar B 38 9 17 12 32:35 44
16 SCD Durango 38 11 10 17 44:50 43
17 Zarautz KE 38 10 12 16 45:51 42
18 Ordizia 38 10 10 18 35:61 40
19 Alaves B 38 7 11 20 31:53 32
20 San Ignacio 38 2 13 23 25:65 19
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2008/2009 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2008/2009 (Main)